Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Nabaltec AG (ETR:NTG) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Nabaltec's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nabaltec had debt of €59.8m at the end of March 2021, a reduction from €71.4m over a year. However, it also had €34.8m in cash, and so its net debt is €24.9m.
How Strong Is Nabaltec's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Nabaltec had liabilities of €20.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €105.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €34.8m and €7.90m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €82.5m.
This deficit isn't so bad because Nabaltec is worth €314.2m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With net debt sitting at just 0.90 times EBITDA, Nabaltec is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 7.1 times, which is more than adequate. On the other hand, Nabaltec's EBIT dived 15%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nabaltec can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Nabaltec's free cash flow amounted to 25% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Nabaltec's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its net debt to EBITDA is relatively strong. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Nabaltec's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Nabaltec .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About XTRA:NTG
Nabaltec
Develops, manufactures, and distributes specialized products based on mineral raw materials in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.