Stock Analysis

Heidelberg Materials AG's (ETR:HEI) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

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XTRA:HEI

When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI) as a highly attractive investment with its 8.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Heidelberg Materials as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Heidelberg Materials

XTRA:HEI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 22nd 2024
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Heidelberg Materials' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 29% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.7% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 13% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Heidelberg Materials' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Heidelberg Materials maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Heidelberg Materials that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Heidelberg Materials. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heidelberg Materials might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.