Stock Analysis

AlzChem Group's (ETR:ACT) Earnings Seem To Be Promising

XTRA:ACT
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AlzChem Group AG's (ETR:ACT) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

View our latest analysis for AlzChem Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
XTRA:ACT Earnings and Revenue History May 8th 2024

A Closer Look At AlzChem Group's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, AlzChem Group recorded an accrual ratio of -0.25. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €75m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €39.1m. Notably, AlzChem Group had negative free cash flow last year, so the €75m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On AlzChem Group's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, AlzChem Group's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think AlzChem Group's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 69% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with AlzChem Group, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of AlzChem Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.