Dow Valuation

Is 2OY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2OY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2OY (€53.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€117.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2OY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2OY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2OY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.6x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2OY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2OY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.2x
FPE3 Fuchs
20.5x8.9%€5.2b
SIM0 SIMONA
14.8xn/a€450.0m
SY1 Symrise
44.9x15.5%€15.3b
HEI Heidelberg Materials
8.7x4.1%€17.6b
2OY Dow
34x25.0%€40.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2OY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2OY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a37.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a37.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2OY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2OY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2OY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2OY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2OY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€53.53
€56.94
+6.4%
6.1%€62.96€48.15n/a20
May ’25€53.76
€57.02
+6.1%
6.4%€63.42€48.50n/a21
Apr ’25€53.62
€54.41
+1.5%
7.9%€63.31€48.41n/a20
Mar ’25€51.70
€53.60
+3.7%
7.4%€63.12€48.27n/a20
Feb ’25€48.76
€53.36
+9.4%
7.3%€62.78€48.01n/a20
Jan ’25€49.85
€51.29
+2.9%
7.6%€63.20€44.88n/a20
Dec ’24€48.18
€52.03
+8.0%
7.8%€64.35€45.70n/a20
Nov ’24€45.33
€52.91
+16.7%
7.9%€65.29€46.36n/a20
Oct ’24€48.66
€52.74
+8.4%
9.6%€67.38€43.99n/a21
Sep ’24€51.16
€51.73
+1.1%
9.8%€65.69€42.88n/a22
Aug ’24€50.90
€51.56
+1.3%
9.6%€65.31€42.63n/a23
Jul ’24€48.86
€52.32
+7.1%
9.9%€65.97€43.06n/a25
Jun ’24€45.66
€54.37
+19.1%
10.5%€67.37€43.98n/a24
May ’24€49.69
€52.91
+6.5%
10.6%€65.32€42.64€53.7622
Apr ’24€50.14
€54.03
+7.8%
12.1%€66.92€40.89€53.6222
Mar ’24€54.50
€54.10
-0.7%
13.1%€67.11€36.35€51.7022
Feb ’24€54.35
€51.93
-4.4%
14.0%€66.23€35.88€48.7622
Jan ’24€47.26
€48.50
+2.6%
14.6%€65.09€36.79€49.8522
Dec ’23€48.72
€50.57
+3.8%
12.6%€65.81€39.48€48.1822
Nov ’23€48.02
€50.57
+5.3%
12.6%€65.81€39.48€45.3322
Oct ’23€45.61
€55.88
+22.5%
12.8%€66.77€45.20€48.6620
Sep ’23€50.34
€58.55
+16.3%
10.9%€71.03€45.02€51.1619
Aug ’23€50.94
€59.11
+16.0%
11.4%€74.09€47.41€50.9019
Jul ’23€48.92
€65.64
+34.2%
11.2%€75.70€46.36€48.8619
Jun ’23€64.17
€68.40
+6.6%
9.0%€78.59€55.20€45.6619
May ’23€64.38
€68.88
+7.0%
12.0%€79.95€47.59€49.6919

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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