Kemper Valuation

Is UI2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UI2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UI2 (€53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€111.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UI2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UI2?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UI2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA38.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does UI2's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for UI2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
WUW Wüstenrot & Württembergische
0.2xn/a€1.2b
NBG6 NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG
0.2xn/a€760.3m
TLX Talanx
0.4x8.3%€17.6b
HNR1 Hannover Rück
1.1x5.0%€27.7b
UI2 Kemper
0.8x-5.7%€3.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: UI2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UI2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: UI2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UI2's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UI2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: UI2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UI2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€53.00
€67.01
+26.4%
3.7%€70.58€63.05n/a5
Apr ’25€58.00
€65.91
+13.6%
4.7%€69.83€60.52n/a5
Mar ’25€52.50
€64.71
+23.3%
5.3%€69.74€60.44n/a5
Feb ’25€55.00
€63.11
+14.7%
7.6%€69.00€55.20n/a5
Jan ’25€43.40
€56.94
+31.2%
11.8%€68.33€51.02n/a4
Dec ’24€40.00
€56.33
+40.8%
16.5%€70.13€43.95n/a4
Nov ’24€37.40
€57.64
+54.1%
16.3%€70.87€44.41n/a4
Oct ’24€39.80
€61.93
+55.6%
16.4%€77.42€50.09n/a4
Sep ’24€42.80
€61.93
+44.7%
16.4%€77.42€50.09n/a4
Aug ’24€45.80
€61.91
+35.2%
16.4%€77.39€50.08n/a4
Jul ’24€44.80
€62.93
+40.5%
17.9%€79.53€48.66n/a4
Jun ’24€40.20
€62.93
+56.5%
17.9%€79.53€48.66n/a4
May ’24€46.60
€65.08
+39.7%
12.6%€77.48€56.51n/a5
Apr ’24€49.20
€65.05
+32.2%
16.0%€79.22€52.19€58.005
Mar ’24€57.50
€65.06
+13.1%
16.0%€79.23€52.20€52.505
Feb ’24€53.50
€53.93
+0.8%
11.2%€62.69€46.10€55.004
Jan ’24€45.80
€59.04
+28.9%
24.1%€82.26€42.58€43.405
Dec ’23€54.00
€59.04
+9.3%
24.1%€82.26€42.58€40.005
Nov ’23€48.80
€61.24
+25.5%
28.3%€86.04€44.54€37.404
Oct ’23€43.40
€61.11
+40.8%
26.9%€84.80€43.90€39.804
Sep ’23€45.20
€60.11
+33.0%
26.9%€83.42€43.18€42.804
Aug ’23€44.00
€61.47
+39.7%
24.0%€80.70€41.77€45.804
Jul ’23€46.60
€61.47
+31.9%
24.0%€80.70€41.77€44.804
Jun ’23€47.80
€61.47
+28.6%
24.0%€80.70€41.77€40.204
May ’23€44.00
€63.53
+44.4%
25.3%€85.66€41.88€46.604
Apr ’23€51.00
€64.99
+27.4%
16.5%€78.69€52.46€49.203

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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