Trisura Group Valuation

Is QPA1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of QPA1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: QPA1 (€28.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€56.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: QPA1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for QPA1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

QPA1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.9x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does QPA1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for QPA1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
WUW Wüstenrot & Württembergische
8.9x11.6%€1.2b
NBG6 NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG
18.1x25.6%€754.6m
ANSGR Anadolu Anonim Türk Sigorta Sirketi
4.8xn/a₺45.3b
RAYSG Ray Sigorta Anonim Sirketi
42.9xn/a₺73.0b
QPA1 Trisura Group
30.3x40.0%€2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: QPA1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does QPA1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: QPA1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is QPA1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

QPA1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.3x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: QPA1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst QPA1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.80
€37.50
+30.2%
11.9%€44.23€29.94n/a9
Apr ’25€28.20
€38.30
+35.8%
11.4%€44.86€30.37n/a8
Mar ’25€29.40
€38.30
+30.3%
11.4%€44.86€30.37n/a8
Feb ’25€25.40
€35.63
+40.3%
11.2%€42.69€27.54n/a8
Jan ’25€22.80
€35.47
+55.6%
11.0%€42.38€27.34n/a9
Dec ’24€22.60
€35.75
+58.2%
7.7%€41.53€32.82n/a8
Nov ’24€20.60
€36.02
+74.8%
7.5%€40.88€33.39n/a7
Oct ’24€21.20
€36.88
+73.9%
6.2%€40.65€33.20n/a7
Sep ’24€21.60
€36.88
+70.7%
6.2%€40.65€33.20n/a7
Aug ’24€23.00
€36.77
+59.9%
6.2%€40.97€33.46n/a7
Jul ’24€26.00
€37.30
+43.5%
6.0%€41.67€34.03n/a7
Jun ’24€23.60
€36.93
+56.5%
6.0%€41.25€33.69n/a7
May ’24€20.80
€35.75
+71.9%
7.2%€41.37€32.70€28.607
Apr ’24€21.20
€37.48
+76.8%
7.5%€43.03€34.01€28.207
Mar ’24€26.00
€38.48
+48.0%
10.8%€47.59€33.80€29.407
Feb ’24€28.60
€39.71
+38.9%
8.2%€46.73€35.74€25.407
Jan ’24€30.80
€42.68
+38.6%
8.3%€50.28€38.45€22.807
Dec ’23€30.60
€42.68
+39.5%
8.3%€50.28€38.45€22.607
Nov ’23€28.00
€40.75
+45.5%
5.6%€45.35€38.03€20.607
Oct ’23€24.20
€42.09
+73.9%
6.6%€47.08€37.21€21.207
Sep ’23€25.40
€42.09
+65.7%
6.6%€47.08€37.21€21.607
Aug ’23€27.00
€41.36
+53.2%
6.7%€45.59€37.23€23.007
Jul ’23€24.40
€38.57
+58.1%
6.2%€42.67€36.05€26.007
Jun ’23€24.80
€38.57
+55.5%
6.2%€42.67€36.05€23.607
May ’23€23.80
€39.41
+65.6%
5.6%€43.13€36.44€20.807

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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