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Progressive

DB:PGV
Snowflake Description

Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
PGV
DB
$47B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. DE
  3. Insurance
Company description

The Progressive Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services primarily in the United States. The last earnings update was 3 days ago. More info.


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PGV Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
-2.5%
DB:PGV
0.5%
DE Insurance
-0.7%
DE Market
1 Year Returns
41.8%
DB:PGV
21.2%
DE Insurance
-7.6%
DE Market
PGV Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Progressive (PGV) -2.5% -0.7% 7.4% 41.8% 144.9% 302.1%
DE Insurance 0.5% 2% 2.1% 21.2% 63% 61.1%
DE Market -0.7% -0.5% -3.8% -7.6% 8.3% 11.1%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • PGV outperformed the Insurance industry which returned 21.2% over the past year.
  • PGV outperformed the Market in Germany which returned -7.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
PGV
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

Value

 Is Progressive undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Progressive to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Progressive.

DB:PGV Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model Excess Returns Model
Stable EPS Weighted future Return on Equity estimates from 11 analysts.
= Stable Book Value * Return on Equity
= $28.67 * 22.5%
$6.46
Book Value of Equity per Share Weighted future Book Value estimates from 9 analysts. $28.67
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 5.1%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year DE Government Bond Rate 0.2%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for DB:PGV
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year DE Govt Bond Rate 0.2%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6%
Insurance Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.69
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.685 (1 + (1- 21%) (9.43%))
0.823
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
0.82
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 0.23% + (0.823 * 5.96%)
5.13%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for DB:PGV using Excess Returns Model Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Progressive is arrived at using the Excess Return Model. This approach is used for finance firms where free cash flow is difficult to estimate.

In the Excess Return Model the value of a firm can be written as the sum of capital invested currently in the firm and the present value of excess returns that the firm expects to make in the future.

The model is sensitive to the Return on Equity of the company versus the Cost of Equity, how these are calculated is detailed below the main calculation.

Note the calculations below are per share.

See our documentation to learn about this calculation.

DB:PGV Value of Excess Returns
Calculation Result
Excess Returns = (Stable Return on equity – Cost of equity) (Book Value of Equity per share)
= (22.5% – 5.13%) * $28.67)
$4.98
Terminal Value of Excess Returns = Excess Returns / (Cost of Equity - Expected Growth Rate)
= $4.98 / (5.13% - 0.23%)
$101.58
Value of Equity = Book Value per share + Terminal Value of Excess Returns
= $28.67 + $101.58
$130.25
DB:PGV Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Non-primary Listing Adjustment Factor 1 share in DB:PGV represents 0.90223x of NYSE:PGR
(This could be a different class, a depositary receipt, a different currency, or all of these things.)
0.90223x
Value per Share
(Listing Adjusted, EUR)
= Value per Share (USD) x Listing Adjustment Factor
= $ 130.25 x 0.90223
€117.52
Value per share (EUR) From above. €117.52
Current discount Discount to share price of €72.16
= -1 x (€72.16 - €117.52) / €117.52
38.6%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price Progressive is available for.
Intrinsic value
39%
Share price is €72.16 vs Future cash flow value of €117.52
Current Discount Checks
For Progressive to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • Progressive's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
  • Progressive's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Progressive's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Progressive's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
DB:PGV PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2019-06-30) in USD $5.53
NYSE:PGR Share Price ** NYSE (2019-07-19) in USD $79.98
Germany Insurance Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 6 Publicly-Listed Insurance Companies 13.38x
Germany Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 422 Publicly-Listed Companies 19.75x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Progressive.

DB:PGV PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NYSE:PGR Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 79.98 ÷ 5.53

14.47x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Progressive is overvalued based on earnings compared to the DE Insurance industry average.
  • Progressive is good value based on earnings compared to the Germany market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Progressive's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
DB:PGV PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 14.47x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 12 Analysts
-1%per year
Germany Insurance Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 5 Publicly-Listed Insurance Companies 3.16x
Germany Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 270 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.44x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

DB:PGV PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 14.47x ÷ -1%

-14.53x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Progressive earnings are not expected to grow next year, we can't assess if its growth is good value.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Progressive's assets?
Raw Data
DB:PGV PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2019-06-30) in USD $22.82
NYSE:PGR Share Price * NYSE (2019-07-19) in USD $79.98
Germany Insurance Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 6 Publicly-Listed Insurance Companies 1.09x
Germany Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 570 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.71x
DB:PGV PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NYSE:PGR Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 79.98 ÷ 22.82

3.5x

* Primary Listing of Progressive.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Progressive is overvalued based on assets compared to the DE Insurance industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Progressive's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Insurance industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Insurance industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Progressive has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is Progressive expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 12 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
-1%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Progressive expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Progressive's earnings are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is below the low risk savings rate of 0.2%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Progressive's earnings are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is below the Germany market average.
  • Progressive's revenue growth is expected to exceed the Germany market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
DB:PGV Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
DB:PGV Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 12 Analysts -1%
DB:PGV Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 12 Analysts 9.1%
Germany Insurance Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 4.6%
Germany Insurance Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 5%
Germany Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 12.5%
Germany Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 5.1%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
DB:PGV Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (2 weeks ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 12 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
DB:PGV Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 43,990 3,492 3
2020-12-31 40,993 3,239 9
2019-12-31 37,017 3,514 7
DB:PGV Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2019-06-30 35,257 3,224
2019-03-31 33,824 6,406 2,949
2018-12-31 31,955 6,285 2,594
2018-09-30 31,041 5,735 2,912
2018-06-30 29,337 5,218 2,215
2018-03-31 27,924 4,400 1,885
2017-12-31 26,816 3,757 1,592
2017-09-30 25,823 3,680 1,399
2017-06-30 24,967 3,184 1,374
2017-03-31 24,181 3,018 1,197
2016-12-31 23,417 2,733 1,031
2016-09-30 22,690 2,408 978

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Progressive's earnings are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is not considered high growth.
  • Progressive's revenue is expected to grow by 9.1% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
DB:PGV Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (2 weeks ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 12 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Progressive Company Filings, last reported 2 weeks ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

DB:PGV Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 5.87 6.00 5.65 3.00
2020-12-31 5.52 6.50 5.00 12.00
2019-12-31 5.93 6.13 5.72 8.00
DB:PGV Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2019-06-30 5.53
2019-03-31 5.06
2018-12-31 4.45
2018-09-30 5.00
2018-06-30 3.81
2018-03-31 3.24
2017-12-31 2.74
2017-09-30 2.41
2017-06-30 2.37
2017-03-31 2.06
2016-12-31 1.77
2016-09-30 1.68

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Progressive is expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess Progressive's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the Germany market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the Germany market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Progressive has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has Progressive performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Progressive's growth in the last year to its industry (Insurance).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Progressive has delivered over 20% year on year earnings growth in the past 5 years.
  • Progressive's 1-year earnings growth exceeds its 5-year average (45.6% vs 22%)
  • Progressive's earnings growth has exceeded the DE Insurance industry average in the past year (45.6% vs 9.4%).
Earnings and Revenue History
Progressive's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Progressive Company Filings, last reported 2 weeks ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

DB:PGV Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2019-06-30 35,257.10 3,224.00
2019-03-31 33,824.40 2,948.80
2018-12-31 31,954.70 2,593.90
2018-09-30 31,041.00 2,912.30
2018-06-30 29,337.00 2,214.60
2018-03-31 27,924.30 1,884.70
2017-12-31 26,816.10 1,592.20
2017-09-30 25,823.10 1,399.10
2017-06-30 24,967.30 1,373.80
2017-03-31 24,180.60 1,197.10
2016-12-31 23,417.40 1,031.00
2016-09-30 22,689.80 978.20
2016-06-30 22,029.40 1,057.80
2016-03-31 21,494.60 1,230.20
2015-12-31 20,831.90 1,267.60
2015-09-30 20,608.70 1,307.40
2015-06-30 20,105.90 1,325.20
2015-03-31 19,563.80 1,255.30
2014-12-31 19,377.30 1,281.00
2014-09-30 18,820.50 1,210.60
2014-06-30 18,573.90 1,146.90
2014-03-31 18,427.60 1,178.10
2013-12-31 18,156.40 1,165.40
2013-09-30 17,888.40 1,114.70
2013-06-30 17,788.70 1,159.30
2013-03-31 17,379.70 953.30
2012-12-31 17,070.30 902.30
2012-09-30 16,918.30 909.90

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Progressive has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%).
  • Progressive used its assets more efficiently than the DE Insurance industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Progressive has significantly improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess Progressive's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Insurance industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Progressive has a total score of 6/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is Progressive's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Progressive's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Progressive's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Progressive's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Progressive's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • Low level of unsold assets.
  • Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 2.8x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Progressive Company Filings, last reported 2 weeks ago.

DB:PGV Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2019-06-30 13,550.90 4,406.00 1,360.90
2019-03-31 12,331.90 4,405.40 2,742.70
2018-12-31 11,036.30 4,404.90 1,865.40
2018-09-30 12,076.20 3,859.90 2,931.60
2018-06-30 11,219.00 3,859.50 3,386.00
2018-03-31 10,837.40 3,859.20 3,242.50
2017-12-31 9,788.50 3,306.30 3,134.40
2017-09-30 9,787.60 3,312.20 4,536.40
2017-06-30 9,493.30 3,383.40 3,890.70
2017-03-31 9,017.10 3,111.70 3,259.30
2016-12-31 8,440.80 3,148.20 3,784.40
2016-09-30 8,567.20 3,166.90 6,019.60
2016-06-30 8,302.30 2,692.00 5,301.10
2016-03-31 8,027.30 2,720.30 4,036.80
2015-12-31 7,754.30 2,707.90 2,396.10
2015-09-30 7,904.90 2,720.60 2,326.50
2015-06-30 7,793.20 2,739.00 1,933.10
2015-03-31 7,201.90 2,560.10 2,368.50
2014-12-31 6,928.60 2,164.70 2,257.40
2014-09-30 6,935.30 2,164.30 2,761.70
2014-06-30 6,789.20 2,208.00 3,244.80
2014-03-31 6,438.60 1,861.30 1,969.60
2013-12-31 6,189.50 1,860.90 1,347.70
2013-09-30 6,792.60 2,010.60 1,247.00
2013-06-30 6,523.90 2,063.90 1,655.00
2013-03-31 6,389.80 2,151.30 2,431.90
2012-12-31 6,007.00 2,158.60 2,169.10
2012-09-30 6,554.60 2,164.30 2,586.30
  • Progressive's level of debt (31%) compared to net worth is satisfactory (less than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has been reduced over the past 5 years (32.5% vs 31% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (152.7%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 23.9x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess Progressive's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Progressive has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is Progressive's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
3.14%
Current annual income from Progressive dividends. Estimated to be 0.74% next year.
If you bought €2,000 of Progressive shares you are expected to receive €63 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Progressive's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in Germany (1.48%).
  • Progressive's dividend is below the markets top 25% of dividend payers in Germany (3.92%).
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
DB:PGV Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 12 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
Germany Insurance Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 6 Stocks 4.1%
Germany Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 325 Stocks 3.2%
Germany Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
Germany Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.5%
Germany Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.9%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

DB:PGV Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 0.72 8.00
2020-12-31 0.65 9.00
2019-12-31 0.33 6.00
DB:PGV Past Annualized Dividends Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per share (annual) Avg. Yield (%)
2019-05-15 2.514 3.096
2019-05-01 2.514 3.385
2019-04-16 2.514 3.302
2019-01-23 2.514 3.543
2018-02-27 1.125 1.779
2018-01-24 1.125 2.053
2017-01-25 0.681 1.509
2016-01-27 0.888 2.692
2015-03-02 0.686 2.335
2015-01-28 0.686 2.585
2013-12-12 1.493 5.935
2013-02-26 0.285 1.101
2013-01-18 0.285 1.218
2012-08-02 0.407 1.922
2012-07-12 0.407 2.059
2012-01-19 0.407 1.889
2011-03-01 0.399 2.035
2011-01-20 0.399 1.984
2010-03-01 0.161 0.811
2010-01-20 0.161 0.955
2009-11-09 0.000 0.000
2009-10-14 0.000 0.000
2009-08-10 0.000 0.000
2009-07-10 0.000 0.000
2009-05-11 0.000 0.000
2009-04-15 0.000 0.000
2008-12-15 0.000 0.000

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Dividends per share have been volatile in the past 10 years (annual drop of over 20%).
  • Dividends per share have increased over the past 10 years.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Progressive's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Dividends paid are well covered by earnings (2x coverage).
Future Payout to shareholders
  • No need to calculate the sustainability of Progressive's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for Germany.
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Progressive's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Progressive afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Progressive has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of Progressive's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Tricia Griffith
COMPENSATION $14,172,925
AGE 55
TENURE AS CEO 3 years
CEO Bio

Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith, also known as Tricia, has been the Chief Executive Officer and President of Progressive Corp. since July 1, 2016. Ms. Griffith serves as Director at Federal Express Corporation since August 2018. Ms. Griffith served as the Chief Operating Officer of Personal Lines at Progressive Corp. from April 1, 2015 to July 1, 2016 and its Vice President from May 2015 to July 1, 2016. She served as the President of Customer Operations at Progressive Corp. since April 2014 until April 1, 2015. She served as the Chief Human Resource Officer of Progressive Corp. from April 2002 to March 2008 and served as its Claims Group President since March 2008 where, she oversaw all Human Resources systems, policies and practices, including staffing, compensation practices, benefits, HR development, employee relations, HR data management and employee wellness. She served as Process Manager for Claims Central Services of Progressive Corporation from January 2001 to April 2002, Regional Claims Consultant from December 1999 to December 2000, Regional Claims and Sales Manager of Pennsylvania from December 1998 to December 1999. Ms. Griffith joined Progressive as a Claims Representative in 1988. She has extensive executive and managerial experience in an industry that emphasizes distinctive advertising and marketing campaigns. She has executive and managerial experience at a company that relies heavily on its ability to adapt to change, innovate, develop, and implement new applications and other technologies. She has been a Director of Progressive Corp. since July 1, 2016. Ms. Griffith has been a Director of FedEx Corporation since March 12, 2018. She served as a Director of The Children’s Place Retail Stores, Inc. since October 2012 until July 1, 2016. Ms. Griffith was named one of FORTUNE magazine’s “Most Powerful Women in Business” in 2016 and 2017. She has a Bachelor's Degree from Illinois State University and is a graduate of the Wharton School of Business’s Advanced Management Program.

CEO Compensation
  • Tricia's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
  • Tricia's remuneration is higher than average for companies of similar size in Germany.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Progressive management team in years:

3.8
Average Tenure
56
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Progressive management team is about average.
Management Team

Tricia Griffith

TITLE
President
COMPENSATION
$14M
AGE
55
TENURE
3 yrs

John Sauerland

TITLE
VP & CFO
COMPENSATION
$7M
AGE
55
TENURE
4.3 yrs

Bill Cody

TITLE
Chief Investment Officer
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
57
TENURE
16.4 yrs

Jeff Charney

TITLE
Chief Marketing Officer
COMPENSATION
$2M
AGE
60
TENURE
8.7 yrs

John Barbagallo

TITLE
President of Commercial Lines
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
60
TENURE
4.2 yrs

Mariann Marshall

TITLE
VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Assistant Secretary
AGE
57
TENURE
0.5 yrs

Steven Broz

TITLE
Chief Information Officer
AGE
49
TENURE
3.4 yrs

Julia Hornack

TITLE
Investor Relations Contact
TENURE
4.5 yrs

Daniel Mascaro

TITLE
VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
AGE
56
TENURE
2.3 yrs

Lori Niederst

TITLE
Chief Human Resource Officer
AGE
46
TENURE
2.7 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Progressive board of directors in years:

5.8
Average Tenure
65.5
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Progressive board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Lawton Fitt

TITLE
Chairperson
COMPENSATION
$440K
AGE
66
TENURE
1.2 yrs

Tricia Griffith

TITLE
President
COMPENSATION
$14M
AGE
55
TENURE
3 yrs

Chuck Davis

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$285K
AGE
71
TENURE
23.3 yrs

Patrick Nettles

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$295K
AGE
76
TENURE
14.8 yrs

Roger Farah

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$300K
AGE
66
TENURE
11.1 yrs

Jeff Kelly

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$270K
AGE
66
TENURE
6.8 yrs

Stuart Burgdoerfer

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$270K
AGE
56
TENURE
9.6 yrs

Barbara Snyder

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$260K
AGE
64
TENURE
4.8 yrs

Phil Bleser

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$275K
AGE
65
TENURE
1.9 yrs

Pam Craig

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$260K
AGE
62
TENURE
1.2 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • Progressive individual insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price (€) Value (€)
17. Jun 19 Sell Steven Broz Individual 14. Jun 19 14. Jun 19 -3,000 €72.62 €-217,858
22. May 19 Sell Michael Sieger Individual 21. May 19 21. May 19 -7,500 €70.90 €-531,744
03. May 19 Sell Kahina Van Dyke Individual 01. May 19 01. May 19 -1,715 €69.80 €-119,709
01. May 19 Sell M. Charney Individual 29. Apr 19 29. Apr 19 -7,202 €68.60 €-494,033
18. Apr 19 Sell John Murphy Individual 17. Apr 19 17. Apr 19 -8,000 €67.81 €-542,479
18. Apr 19 Sell M. Charney Individual 17. Apr 19 17. Apr 19 -10,000 €67.77 €-677,745
05. Mar 19 Sell Daniel Mascaro Individual 01. Mar 19 01. Mar 19 -6,000 €64.08 €-384,484
05. Mar 19 Sell Michael Sieger Individual 01. Mar 19 01. Mar 19 -7,500 €64.35 €-482,648
05. Mar 19 Sell William Cody Individual 01. Mar 19 01. Mar 19 -50,000 €64.10 €-3,204,909
05. Mar 19 Sell Steven Broz Individual 01. Mar 19 01. Mar 19 -2,500 €64.10 €-160,245
12. Feb 19 Buy Barbara Snyder Individual 11. Feb 19 11. Feb 19 292 €59.70 €17,456
01. Feb 19 Sell M. Charney Individual 30. Jan 19 31. Jan 19 -18,000 €58.49 €-1,046,291
21. Aug 18 Sell William Cody Individual 20. Aug 18 20. Aug 18 -50,000 €58.50 €-2,924,868
X
Management checks
We assess Progressive's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Progressive has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

Company Info

Description

The Progressive Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services primarily in the United States. Its Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos, and recreational and other vehicles. This segment’s products include personal auto insurance; and special lines products, including insurance for motorcycles, ATVs, RVs, watercrafts, and snowmobiles. The company’s Commercial Lines segment provides primary liability, physical damage, and other auto-related insurance for autos, vans, pick-up trucks, and dump trucks used by small businesses; tractors, trailers, and straight trucks primarily used by regional general freight and expeditor-type businesses, and non-fleet long-haul operators; dump trucks, log trucks, and garbage trucks used by dirt, sand and gravel, logging, and coal-type businesses; tow trucks and wreckers used in towing services and gas/service station businesses; and non-fleet taxis, black-car services, and airport taxis. Its Property segment provides residential property insurance for homes, condos, manufactured homes, and renters, as well as offers personal umbrella insurance, and primary and excess flood insurance. The company also offers policy issuance and claims adjusting services; home, condominium, renters, and other insurance; and general liability and business owner’s policies, and workers’ compensation insurance. In addition, it offers reinsurance services. The Progressive Corporation sells its products and services through independent insurance agencies, as well as directly on Internet, and mobile devices, and over the phone. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.

Details
Name: The Progressive Corporation
PGV
Exchange: DB
Founded: 1937
$41,633,582,602
584,100,000
Website: http://www.progressive.com
Address: The Progressive Corporation
300 North Commons Boulevard,
Mayfield,
Ohio, 44143,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NYSE PGR Common Shares New York Stock Exchange US USD 12. Oct 1972
DB PGV Common Shares Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 12. Oct 1972
LSE 0KOC Common Shares London Stock Exchange GB USD 12. Oct 1972
BMV PGR * Common Shares Bolsa Mexicana de Valores MX MXN 12. Oct 1972
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
37,346
Progressive employees.
Industry
Property and Casualty Insurance
Insurance
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/07/20 20:53
End of day share price update: 2019/07/19 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/07/19
Last earnings filing: 2019/07/17
Last earnings reported: 2019/06/30
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.