Aegon Valuation

Is J060 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of J060 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: J060 (€5.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: J060 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for J060?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

J060 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA622x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does J060's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for J060 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
WUW Wüstenrot & Württembergische
0.2xn/a€1.2b
TLX Talanx
0.4x8.3%€18.4b
HNR1 Hannover Rück
1.1x5.0%€27.8b
2883 China Development Financial Holding
4.7x8.8%NT$247.7b
J060 Aegon
0.8x4.6%€10.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: J060 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does J060's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: J060 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is J060's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

J060 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: J060 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst J060 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.81
€5.90
+1.6%
12.0%€7.00€4.30n/a15
Apr ’25€5.62
€5.84
+3.9%
11.6%€7.00€4.30n/a15
Mar ’25€5.20
€5.88
+13.1%
11.3%€7.00€4.30n/a16
Feb ’25€5.42
€5.76
+6.3%
11.5%€7.00€4.30n/a16
Jan ’25€5.24
€5.49
+4.7%
12.0%€6.75€4.00n/a15
Dec ’24€5.05
€5.48
+8.5%
12.0%€6.75€4.00n/a15
Nov ’24€4.59
€5.38
+17.1%
13.6%€6.75€3.60n/a15
Oct ’24€4.51
€5.45
+20.8%
13.3%€6.75€3.60n/a14
Sep ’24€4.74
€5.39
+13.6%
13.4%€6.75€3.60n/a15
Aug ’24€4.94
€5.38
+8.8%
14.1%€6.75€3.60n/a14
Jul ’24€4.64
€5.39
+16.0%
13.8%€6.75€3.60n/a15
Jun ’24€4.17
€5.33
+28.0%
15.0%€6.75€3.60n/a14
May ’24€4.12
€5.33
+29.6%
15.1%€6.75€3.60n/a14
Apr ’24€3.97
€5.38
+35.6%
15.5%€6.75€3.60€5.6214
Mar ’24€4.91
€5.38
+9.5%
15.5%€6.75€3.60€5.2014
Feb ’24€5.02
€5.29
+5.4%
14.7%€6.75€3.60€5.4214
Jan ’24€4.75
€5.18
+9.1%
14.8%€6.75€3.50€5.2415
Dec ’23€4.70
€5.19
+10.5%
14.8%€6.75€3.50€5.0515
Nov ’23€4.75
€5.17
+8.7%
14.6%€6.50€3.50€4.5916
Oct ’23€4.12
€5.36
+29.9%
11.3%€6.50€4.55€4.5115
Sep ’23€4.39
€5.29
+20.6%
12.5%€6.50€4.20€4.7415
Aug ’23€4.25
€5.24
+23.4%
12.5%€6.50€4.20€4.9415
Jul ’23€4.26
€5.41
+27.0%
9.7%€6.50€4.70€4.6415
Jun ’23€4.97
€5.40
+8.8%
9.7%€6.50€4.70€4.1715
May ’23€4.96
€5.22
+5.2%
14.4%€6.30€3.00€4.1216
Apr ’23€4.94
€5.14
+4.1%
14.1%€6.25€3.00€3.9716

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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