Aviva plc

DB:GU80 Stock Report

Market Cap: €14.6b

Aviva Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Aviva is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.5% and 7.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.7% in 3 years.

Key information

4.5%

Earnings growth rate

5.6%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth5.5%
Revenue growth rate7.1%
Future return on equity14.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:GU80 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202639,9821,399N/A1,9972
12/31/202544,1861,294N/A1,9974
12/31/202442,8641,113N/A2,0974
6/30/202422,6431,273-1,204-849N/A
3/31/202422,1081,154-2,143-1,790N/A
12/31/202321,5721,034-3,082-2,732N/A
9/30/202319,9922922,7512,994N/A
6/30/202318,049-4898,5848,719N/A
3/31/202317,126-78712,18412,301N/A
12/31/202216,203-1,08515,78415,883N/A
9/30/202217,393-56311,01611,108N/A
6/30/202218,582-426,2486,333N/A
3/31/202217,6221043,1803,277N/A
12/31/202116,662249112220N/A
9/30/202117,682439-958-857N/A
6/30/202118,702628-2,029-1,935N/A
3/31/202122,273969-2,324-2,208N/A
12/31/202025,8441,310-2,620-2,482N/A
6/30/202029,5102,1084,5204,650N/A
3/31/202036,2332,2815,1845,309N/A
12/31/201942,9552,4545,8485,968N/A
9/30/201941,4702,3993,4643,634N/A
6/30/201936,5422,3011,1061,300N/A
3/31/201929,4071,9083,1783,351N/A
12/31/201822,2711,5155,2505,401N/A
9/30/201825,6531,3206,3806,522N/A
6/30/201829,0341,1257,5107,643N/A
3/31/201832,0881,270N/A7,692N/A
12/31/201735,1411,415N/A7,741N/A
9/30/201735,5271,269N/A8,105N/A
6/30/201735,9121,123N/A8,469N/A
3/31/201738,032871N/A6,608N/A
12/31/201640,151618N/A4,747N/A
9/30/201636,610570N/A3,904N/A
6/30/201633,068521N/A3,061N/A
3/31/201627,027692N/A3,908N/A
12/31/201520,985862N/A4,755N/A
6/30/201528,2921,132N/A3,836N/A
3/31/201532,0381,279N/A1,646N/A
12/31/201435,7841,425N/A-544N/A
6/30/201431,9321,081N/A-93N/A
3/31/201429,500865N/A1,963N/A
12/31/201327,068648N/A4,018N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GU80's forecast earnings growth (4.5% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: GU80's earnings (4.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GU80's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GU80's revenue (7.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GU80's revenue (7.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GU80's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 14:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aviva plc is covered by 41 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Larissa van DeventerBarclays
Andrew BroadfieldBarclays