ageas Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

ageas is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.9% and 7.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.2% in 3 years.

Key information

6.9%

Earnings growth rate

7.5%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth	5.4%
Revenue growth rate	7.5%
Future return on equity	15.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:FO4 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	12,424	1,393	823	1,805	4
12/31/2025	12,374	1,338	744	-415	4
12/31/2024	11,881	1,254	635	-1,186	4
6/30/2024	8,109	1,064	403	736	N/A
3/31/2024	7,819	1,009	146	430	N/A
12/31/2023	7,529	953	-112	124	N/A
9/30/2023	6,152	1,135	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2023	9,049	997	378	567	N/A
3/31/2023	6,668	1,091	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2022	6,991	1,097	871	1,019	N/A
9/30/2022	9,951	982	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2022	8,541	1,069	-997	-887	N/A
3/31/2022	12,260	821	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2021	13,459	845	-1,212	-1,065	N/A
9/30/2021	13,277	715	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2021	13,117	757	-465	-121	N/A
3/31/2021	13,558	985	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2020	11,948	1,141	-1,685	-1,329	N/A
9/30/2020	11,740	1,096	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2020	12,072	1,164	-1,262	-1,062	N/A
3/31/2020	12,313	1,179	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2019	14,761	979	282	466	N/A
9/30/2019	14,049	1,031	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2019	13,594	974	521	662	N/A
3/31/2019	12,949	813	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	11,565	809	739	862	N/A
9/30/2018	12,378	919	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2018	12,376	781	-47	58	N/A
3/31/2018	12,293	761	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	12,519	623	N/A	-725	N/A
9/30/2017	12,385	269	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2017	12,880	378	N/A	376	N/A
3/31/2017	12,980	771	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	13,318	27	N/A	405	N/A
9/30/2016	13,611	289	N/A	849	N/A
6/30/2016	13,675	234	N/A	-191	N/A
3/31/2016	13,230	-104	N/A	218	N/A
12/31/2015	13,529	770	N/A	-313	N/A
9/30/2015	14,413	793	N/A	-681	N/A
6/30/2015	14,577	914	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2015	14,470	687	N/A	728	N/A
12/31/2014	14,108	476	N/A	1,917	N/A
9/30/2014	13,333	339	N/A	2,707	N/A
6/30/2014	13,077	129	N/A	2,772	N/A
3/31/2014	12,742	307	N/A	3,238	N/A
12/31/2013	13,260	570	N/A	2,513	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FO4's forecast earnings growth (6.9% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: FO4's earnings (6.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FO4's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FO4's revenue (7.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FO4's revenue (7.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FO4's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/18 11:00
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

ageas SA/NV is covered by 35 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Cor Kluis	ABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Pierre-Yves Gauthier	AlphaValue
Alessia Magni	Barclays