Fidelity National Financial, Inc.

DB:F1EF Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.7b

Fidelity National Financial Valuation

Is F1EF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of F1EF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: F1EF (€60.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€80.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: F1EF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for F1EF?

Key metric: As F1EF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for F1EF. This is calculated by dividing F1EF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is F1EF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.1x
EarningsUS$751.00m
Market CapUS$17.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does F1EF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for F1EF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.8x
TLX Talanx
10.8x5.0%€20.5b
HNR1 Hannover Rück
13.3x5.7%€29.8b
MUV2 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft in München
11.4x2.9%€64.9b
ALV Allianz
11.8x5.9%€112.0b
F1EF Fidelity National Financial
23.1x38.8%€17.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: F1EF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the peer average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does F1EF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
F1EF 23.1xIndustry Avg. 11.9xNo. of Companies13PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: F1EF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is F1EF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

F1EF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.1x
Fair PE Ratio19.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: F1EF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst F1EF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€60.50
€62.70
+3.6%
8.7%€70.91€55.05n/a5
Nov ’25€55.00
€59.40
+8.0%
8.8%€69.24€53.75n/a5
Oct ’25€56.00
€55.41
-1.1%
5.1%€57.82€50.59n/a6
Sep ’25€53.00
€55.24
+4.2%
5.1%€58.59€51.27n/a6
Aug ’25€51.50
€54.33
+5.5%
5.3%€57.74€49.36n/a6
Jul ’25€46.00
€54.33
+18.1%
5.3%€57.74€49.36n/a6
Jun ’25€46.40
€54.45
+17.4%
4.4%€57.55€51.05n/a6
May ’25€47.20
€54.19
+14.8%
4.6%€58.95€51.58n/a6
Apr ’25€47.79
€53.26
+11.4%
6.3%€58.60€47.61n/a6
Mar ’25€46.53
€53.44
+14.9%
6.8%€59.14€48.05n/a6
Feb ’25€46.05
€51.17
+11.1%
8.4%€59.00€46.10n/a6
Jan ’25€46.35
€46.50
+0.3%
7.1%€50.95€40.76n/a5
Dec ’24€40.86
€45.23
+10.7%
7.9%€50.56€40.45n/a5
Nov ’24€36.87
€44.85
+21.6%
6.7%€49.10€40.60€55.004
Oct ’24€38.75
€45.17
+16.6%
6.7%€49.19€40.67€56.004
Sep ’24€37.90
€43.96
+16.0%
5.2%€47.38€41.00€53.004
Aug ’24€35.28
€40.02
+13.4%
6.1%€42.69€36.47€51.504
Jul ’24€32.88
€41.48
+26.2%
6.5%€44.91€38.36€46.003
Jun ’24€31.77
€41.48
+30.6%
6.5%€44.91€38.36€46.403
May ’24€31.40
€44.18
+40.7%
7.9%€51.12€41.99€47.205
Apr ’24€31.40
€45.58
+45.2%
7.0%€51.88€43.55€47.795
Mar ’24€37.60
€46.00
+22.4%
7.7%€52.79€42.42€46.535
Feb ’24€40.40
€46.94
+16.2%
6.9%€51.54€43.25€46.055
Jan ’24€35.60
€48.13
+35.2%
6.0%€53.48€44.89€46.355
Dec ’23€35.60
€49.01
+37.7%
5.5%€54.24€46.49€40.865
Nov ’23€39.80
€58.19
+46.2%
13.8%€69.91€49.35€36.875

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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