Central Garden & Pet Company

DB:GP7 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.2b

Central Garden & Pet Valuation

Is GP7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GP7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GP7 (€37.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€15.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GP7 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GP7?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GP7 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.3x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GP7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GP7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29x
HEN3 Henkel KGaA
23.3x9.8%€29.0b
4912 Lion
26x8.6%JP¥380.4b
ENR Energizer Holdings
21.9x15.8%US$2.0b
WDFC WD-40
44.8x11.5%US$3.1b
GP7 Central Garden & Pet
19.7x10.1%€2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GP7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the peer average (29x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GP7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GP7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GP7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GP7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.7x
Fair PE Ratio29x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GP7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GP7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€37.80
€43.06
+13.9%
17.3%€55.37€34.14n/a6
Apr ’25€39.20
€44.01
+12.3%
15.0%€55.40€36.01n/a6
Mar ’25€40.40
€45.30
+12.1%
13.2%€55.69€38.98n/a5
Feb ’25€43.40
€43.55
+0.3%
8.0%€45.94€36.75n/a5
Jan ’25€45.80
€43.55
-4.9%
8.0%€45.94€36.75n/a5
Dec ’24€37.20
€43.55
+17.1%
8.0%€45.94€36.75n/a5
Nov ’24€41.20
€45.88
+11.4%
10.5%€52.44€37.46n/a5
Oct ’24€42.40
€45.88
+8.2%
10.5%€52.44€37.46n/a5
Sep ’24€40.60
€43.68
+7.6%
8.9%€46.22€36.98n/a4
Aug ’24€36.80
€40.56
+10.2%
9.1%€44.66€34.64n/a4
Jul ’24€35.20
€40.56
+15.2%
9.1%€44.66€34.64n/a4
Jun ’24€34.00
€40.56
+19.3%
9.1%€44.66€34.64n/a4
May ’24€33.00
€40.56
+22.9%
9.1%€44.66€34.64n/a4
Apr ’24€37.00
€46.76
+26.4%
13.1%€56.39€39.47€39.204
Mar ’24€38.20
€45.33
+18.7%
11.7%€54.62€38.23€40.405
Feb ’24€38.40
€45.33
+18.1%
11.7%€54.62€38.23€43.405
Jan ’24€35.40
€47.94
+35.4%
12.9%€58.23€38.82€45.805
Dec ’23€39.20
€47.94
+22.3%
12.9%€58.23€38.82€37.205
Nov ’23€41.60
€50.73
+21.9%
14.9%€61.36€37.84€41.205
Oct ’23€36.60
€51.32
+40.2%
9.7%€60.14€45.10€42.405
Sep ’23€39.60
€51.32
+29.6%
9.7%€60.14€45.10€40.605
Aug ’23€42.20
€50.65
+20.0%
12.5%€58.45€41.89€36.804
Jul ’23€40.20
€50.15
+24.7%
13.7%€56.77€40.69€35.203
Jun ’23€42.20
€54.27
+28.6%
9.5%€58.78€45.50€34.004
May ’23€42.00
€53.11
+26.4%
8.7%€57.26€45.26€33.004
Apr ’23€39.60
€51.68
+30.5%
10.3%€56.21€42.61€37.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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