U.S. Physical Therapy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

U.S. Physical Therapy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 29.4% and 8.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 40.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.2% in 3 years.

Key information

29.4%

Earnings growth rate

40.1%

EPS growth rate

Healthcare earnings growth	27.5%
Revenue growth rate	8.9%
Future return on equity	9.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	21 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:UPH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	778	48	83	87	3
12/31/2025	726	61	70	85	6
12/31/2024	662	50	65	81	6
9/30/2024	639	14	73	82	N/A
6/30/2024	621	16	68	77	N/A
3/31/2024	606	18	66	75	N/A
12/31/2023	599	18	73	82	N/A
9/30/2023	585	24	64	72	N/A
6/30/2023	575	26	62	70	N/A
3/31/2023	564	28	50	58	N/A
12/31/2022	548	29	50	59	N/A
9/30/2022	536	39	48	57	N/A
6/30/2022	522	38	59	68	N/A
3/31/2022	509	37	61	70	N/A
12/31/2021	490	31	68	76	N/A
9/30/2021	477	31	78	86	N/A
6/30/2021	461	30	81	87	N/A
3/31/2021	418	32	95	101	N/A
12/31/2020	418	32	92	100	N/A
9/30/2020	423	30	82	91	N/A
6/30/2020	431	31	72	82	N/A
3/31/2020	473	29	55	65	N/A
12/31/2019	477	31	52	62	N/A
9/30/2019	472	30	56	65	N/A
6/30/2019	468	23	62	71	N/A
3/31/2019	457	18	63	71	N/A
12/31/2018	449	17	66	73	N/A
9/30/2018	442	18	63	70	N/A
6/30/2018	432	22	N/A	65	N/A
3/31/2018	421	21	N/A	58	N/A
12/31/2017	410	22	N/A	57	N/A
9/30/2017	392	20	N/A	53	N/A
6/30/2017	377	20	N/A	42	N/A
3/31/2017	363	21	N/A	51	N/A
12/31/2016	353	21	N/A	51	N/A
9/30/2016	348	20	N/A	48	N/A
6/30/2016	344	21	N/A	49	N/A
3/31/2016	337	21	N/A	49	N/A
12/31/2015	327	21	N/A	38	N/A
9/30/2015	320	21	N/A	45	N/A
6/30/2015	313	20	N/A	43	N/A
3/31/2015	308	20	N/A	45	N/A
12/31/2014	301	19	N/A	41	N/A
9/30/2014	290	19	N/A	45	N/A
6/30/2014	278	18	N/A	45	N/A
3/31/2014	267	18	N/A	44	N/A
12/31/2013	260	18	N/A	45	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UPH's forecast earnings growth (29.4% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: UPH's earnings (29.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (20.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UPH's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UPH's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UPH's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UPH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.2%).

U.S. Physical Therapy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for 2022

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year 2021

Recent updates

President & COO recently sold €179k worth of stock

Third quarter dividend of US$0.44 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.39 (vs US$0.51 in 3Q 2023)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 6, 2024

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 05, 2024

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 13, 2024

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. announced delayed 10-Q filing

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 13, 2024

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Chairman & CEO recently sold €196k worth of stock

Chief Operating Officer - East recently sold €242k worth of stock

First quarter dividend of US$0.44 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.54 (vs US$0.58 in 1Q 2023)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

Chief Operating Officer - West recently sold €253k worth of stock

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.44 announced

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Increases Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 5, 2024

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.99 (vs US$2.25 in FY 2022)

Now 21% undervalued

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 28, 2024

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 28, 2024

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.62 (vs US$0.72 in 3Q 2022)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 8, 2023

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023

Chief Operating Officer - West recently sold €413k worth of stock

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.80 (vs US$0.87 in 2Q 2022)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 8, 2023

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) acquired a 70% stake in U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) for $2.1 million.

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 08, 2023

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) acquired 75% interest in Physical therapy practice with four clinics for $3.1 million

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $150.00003 million.

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Elects Nancy Ham to the Board of Directors

Upcoming dividend of US$0.43 per share at 1.6% yield

U.S. Physical Therapy Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on June 9, 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.57 (vs US$0.67 in 1Q 2022)

Independent Director recently sold €439k worth of stock

Executive VP recently sold €87k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.43 per share at 1.7% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$2.25 (vs US$2.42 in FY 2021)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 22, 2023

Independent Director recently sold €573k worth of stock

President recently sold €858k worth of stock

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) acquired 80% stake in Thirteen-clinic physical therapy practice from practice’s owners for $25 million.

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) acquired 80% stake in Thirteen-clinic physical therapy practice for $25 million.

Insufficient new directors

Upcoming dividend of US$0.41 per share

Chief Operating Officer - West recently sold €162k worth of stock

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.73 (vs US$0.66 in 3Q 2021)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for 2022

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE : USPH) acquired 60% stake in Fourteen-clinic physical therapy practice for $19.3 million.

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 03, 2022

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) acquired 80% stake in Two-Clinic Physical Therapy Practice for $4.2 million.

Director recently bought €78k worth of stock

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) acquired a 70% stake in six-clinic physical therapy practice in West Virginia and Pennsylvania for $3.5 million.

Independent Director recently bought €82k worth of stock

Independent Director recently bought €54k worth of stock

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.86 (vs US$0.82 in 2Q 2021)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 16, 2022

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 04, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.68 (vs US$0.21 in 1Q 2021)

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on June 14, 2022

Insufficient new directors

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 05, 2022

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 17, 2022

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (NYSE:USPH) acquired a 70% stake in Madden and Gilbert Physical Therapy, LP from Chad Madden, Michael Gilbert and others for $11.5 million.

Independent Director recently sold €287k worth of stock

Chief Operating Officer of East recently sold €171k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.41 per share

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations