EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme

DB:ESL Stock Report

Market Cap: €91.1b

EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme Valuation

Is ESL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ESL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ESL (€202.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€191.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ESL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ESL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ESL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.1x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ESL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ESL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.1x
SHL Siemens Healthineers
38.4x19.5%€58.4b
PHH2 Paul Hartmann
26.5xn/a€745.9m
AFX Carl Zeiss Meditec
32x11.9%€8.9b
FRE Fresenius SE KGaA
43.4x22.7%€15.3b
ESL EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme
39.8x13.7%€91.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ESL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.8x) compared to the peer average (35.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ESL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Medical Equipment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ESL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.8x) compared to the European Medical Equipment industry average (32.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ESL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ESL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio39.8x
Fair PE Ratio35.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ESL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ESL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€202.70
€205.89
+1.6%
8.2%€229.00€162.00n/a19
Apr ’25€210.35
€201.16
-4.4%
7.6%€228.00€162.00n/a19
Mar ’25€196.96
€197.84
+0.4%
7.4%€220.00€162.00n/a20
Feb ’25€182.76
€192.54
+5.3%
7.5%€215.00€162.00n/a22
Jan ’25€181.72
€193.26
+6.4%
8.0%€220.00€162.00n/a22
Dec ’24€178.04
€193.04
+8.4%
8.2%€220.00€162.00n/a22
Nov ’24€170.96
€192.76
+12.8%
8.2%€220.00€162.00n/a22
Oct ’24€165.58
€194.59
+17.5%
8.5%€220.00€155.00n/a21
Sep ’24€174.40
€194.15
+11.3%
8.7%€220.00€155.00n/a20
Aug ’24€178.84
€194.50
+8.8%
8.7%€220.00€155.00n/a20
Jul ’24€172.84
€192.63
+11.5%
8.4%€220.00€155.00n/a19
Jun ’24€166.02
€191.94
+15.6%
8.2%€215.00€155.00n/a18
May ’24€178.42
€191.46
+7.3%
7.8%€215.00€155.00n/a20
Apr ’24€166.25
€186.01
+11.9%
8.0%€210.00€155.00€210.3519
Mar ’24€163.95
€187.69
+14.5%
8.4%€210.00€155.00€196.9619
Feb ’24€168.25
€187.06
+11.2%
8.7%€210.00€155.00€182.7619
Jan ’24€170.80
€184.66
+8.1%
9.5%€210.00€150.00€181.7220
Dec ’23€176.95
€179.98
+1.7%
9.0%€205.00€150.00€178.0419
Nov ’23€162.55
€179.98
+10.7%
9.0%€205.00€150.00€170.9619
Oct ’23€140.15
€179.71
+28.2%
9.5%€205.00€144.00€165.5818
Sep ’23€147.25
€181.22
+23.1%
9.8%€210.00€144.00€174.4018
Aug ’23€157.20
€181.22
+15.3%
9.8%€210.00€144.00€178.8418
Jul ’23€144.25
€185.73
+28.8%
9.1%€210.00€150.00€172.8418
Jun ’23€149.35
€188.21
+26.0%
7.8%€210.00€155.00€166.0219
May ’23€164.80
€188.21
+14.2%
7.8%€210.00€155.00€178.4219
Apr ’23€165.70
€186.32
+12.4%
9.8%€210.00€131.00€166.2519

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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