Fresenius SE KGaA Valuation

Is FRE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FRE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FRE (€26.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€48.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FRE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FRE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FRE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.2x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FRE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FRE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.7x
FME Fresenius Medical Care
21.4x22.0%€10.7b
SYAB SYNLAB
25.2x27.9%€2.3b
AFX Carl Zeiss Meditec
31.6x11.4%€8.7b
DGX Quest Diagnostics
16.5x8.2%US$14.0b
FRE Fresenius SE KGaA
42.5x22.8%€15.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FRE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FRE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FRE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.5x
Fair PE Ratio36.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FRE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.90
€36.22
+34.6%
15.0%€50.00€28.00n/a16
Apr ’25€25.00
€36.22
+44.9%
15.0%€50.00€28.00n/a16
Mar ’25€25.80
€38.21
+48.1%
25.0%€70.00€28.00n/a17
Feb ’25€25.93
€38.59
+48.8%
24.1%€70.00€30.00n/a17
Jan ’25€28.07
€38.66
+37.7%
24.6%€70.00€30.00n/a16
Dec ’24€29.09
€38.48
+32.3%
25.1%€70.00€29.60n/a16
Nov ’24€24.30
€38.51
+58.5%
23.7%€68.00€29.60n/a16
Oct ’24€29.46
€38.63
+31.1%
24.1%€68.00€29.60n/a16
Sep ’24€29.44
€38.01
+29.1%
24.6%€68.00€28.00n/a17
Aug ’24€28.68
€36.59
+27.6%
27.5%€69.00€27.00n/a17
Jul ’24€25.37
€36.41
+43.5%
28.6%€69.00€26.00n/a16
Jun ’24€25.75
€38.17
+48.2%
41.2%€92.00€26.00n/a15
May ’24€26.22
€37.11
+41.5%
43.8%€92.00€22.00n/a15
Apr ’24€24.85
€35.83
+44.2%
46.1%€92.00€16.60€25.0016
Mar ’24€25.09
€35.23
+40.4%
47.6%€92.00€16.60€25.8016
Feb ’24€26.61
€35.53
+33.5%
47.0%€92.00€16.60€25.9316
Jan ’24€26.25
€35.06
+33.6%
48.1%€92.00€16.60€28.0716
Dec ’23€26.51
€35.83
+35.2%
48.0%€92.00€16.60€29.0915
Nov ’23€23.26
€35.63
+53.2%
47.0%€92.00€16.60€24.3016
Oct ’23€21.95
€38.46
+75.2%
44.1%€92.00€16.60€29.4615
Sep ’23€24.42
€39.13
+60.2%
44.7%€95.00€17.67€29.4415
Aug ’23€24.80
€42.92
+73.1%
39.7%€95.00€17.67€28.6816
Jul ’23€29.14
€43.67
+49.9%
38.0%€95.00€17.67€25.3716
Jun ’23€31.56
€44.28
+40.3%
35.7%€95.00€17.67€25.7517
May ’23€33.80
€44.52
+31.7%
35.2%€95.00€17.67€26.2217
Apr ’23€33.22
€44.97
+35.4%
34.1%€95.00€17.67€24.8518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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