Cigna Group Valuation

Is CGN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CGN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CGN (€326.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1308.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CGN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CGN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CGN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.6x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CGN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CGN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.3x
FRE Fresenius SE KGaA
43.4x22.7%€15.3b
FME Fresenius Medical Care
22.2x21.7%€11.1b
SYAB SYNLAB
25x36.4%€2.3b
SHL Siemens Healthineers
38.4x19.5%€58.4b
CGN Cigna Group
19.5x9.6%€99.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CGN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CGN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CGN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (18.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CGN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CGN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.5x
Fair PE Ratio40.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CGN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CGN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€326.55
€358.97
+9.9%
7.2%€406.56€274.90n/a23
Apr ’25€335.10
€346.72
+3.5%
6.5%€377.24€268.76n/a23
Mar ’25€310.00
€340.16
+9.7%
6.3%€368.64€269.20n/a21
Feb ’25€283.20
€326.78
+15.4%
6.1%€354.20€268.73n/a21
Jan ’25€269.40
€324.14
+20.3%
6.4%€357.67€271.36n/a21
Dec ’24€240.50
€319.41
+32.8%
5.5%€351.35€292.94n/a21
Nov ’24€291.10
€316.71
+8.8%
7.7%€363.79€271.19n/a22
Oct ’24€273.40
€316.75
+15.9%
8.0%€364.17€271.47n/a23
Sep ’24€256.60
€307.21
+19.7%
8.4%€352.89€263.06n/a24
Aug ’24€267.20
€298.32
+11.6%
9.4%€350.12€258.27n/a24
Jul ’24€253.30
€300.46
+18.6%
10.2%€352.58€260.09n/a24
Jun ’24€230.40
€305.69
+32.7%
10.4%€358.86€264.72n/a24
May ’24€226.20
€314.47
+39.0%
7.9%€349.39€258.64n/a23
Apr ’24€232.80
€323.88
+39.1%
6.3%€354.93€284.87€335.1022
Mar ’24€274.45
€332.45
+21.1%
5.9%€363.21€291.51€310.0023
Feb ’24€289.40
€333.44
+15.2%
4.6%€356.78€297.47€283.2022
Jan ’24€307.25
€334.93
+9.0%
4.4%€360.78€300.81€269.4022
Dec ’23€316.80
€340.98
+7.6%
5.7%€370.14€283.61€240.5021
Nov ’23€325.50
€318.40
-2.2%
5.0%€344.22€280.43€291.1022
Oct ’23€283.70
€309.21
+9.0%
7.5%€338.47€228.97€273.4023
Sep ’23€283.10
€304.47
+7.5%
7.5%€333.98€225.93€256.6023
Aug ’23€267.10
€295.47
+10.6%
7.6%€329.51€229.66€267.2023
Jul ’23€249.00
€281.28
+13.0%
7.2%€313.50€218.50€253.3023
Jun ’23€249.85
€269.21
+7.7%
11.3%€307.49€177.04€230.4024
May ’23€239.95
€243.12
+1.3%
11.2%€278.10€176.13€226.2023
Apr ’23€215.85
€231.27
+7.1%
10.2%€269.61€170.75€232.8024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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