Accolade Valuation

Is 4NE1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4NE1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4NE1 (€7.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€69.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4NE1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4NE1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4NE1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-8.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4NE1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4NE1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
SYAB SYNLAB
0.9x7.5%€2.3b
V3V VITA 34
1.2x3.1%€86.1m
FME Fresenius Medical Care
0.6x3.5%€11.6b
FRE Fresenius SE KGaA
0.7x4.2%€15.8b
4NE1 Accolade
1.4x15.0%€597.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4NE1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4NE1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4NE1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4NE1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4NE1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ratio2.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4NE1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4NE1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.65
€12.44
+62.6%
16.8%€15.86€9.33n/a15
Apr ’25€9.15
€13.89
+51.8%
12.0%€16.59€11.06n/a15
Mar ’25€9.40
€13.89
+47.7%
12.0%€16.59€11.06n/a15
Feb ’25€10.40
€13.80
+32.7%
12.3%€16.56€11.04n/a14
Jan ’25€11.50
€13.55
+17.8%
15.3%€15.59€9.17n/a13
Dec ’24€7.95
€13.64
+71.5%
14.9%€15.61€9.19n/a13
Nov ’24€6.05
€14.21
+134.8%
13.6%€16.02€9.42n/a13
Oct ’24€10.00
€15.45
+54.5%
10.5%€17.79€13.11n/a13
Sep ’24€12.30
€14.88
+20.9%
10.8%€17.41€12.83n/a15
Aug ’24€13.50
€14.88
+10.2%
10.8%€17.41€12.83n/a15
Jul ’24€12.90
€14.88
+15.3%
10.8%€17.41€12.83n/a15
Jun ’24€11.20
€14.15
+26.3%
10.9%€16.39€11.84n/a15
May ’24€11.80
€14.10
+19.5%
10.9%€16.34€11.80€7.6515
Apr ’24€12.30
€12.68
+3.1%
13.9%€15.67€9.22€9.1514
Mar ’24€10.30
€12.29
+19.3%
12.0%€13.97€9.32€9.4013
Feb ’24€10.60
€11.87
+12.0%
12.3%€13.65€9.10€10.4013
Jan ’24€7.10
€14.35
+102.1%
14.2%€17.51€10.30€11.5014
Dec ’23€8.40
€14.35
+70.8%
14.2%€17.51€10.30€7.9514
Nov ’23€10.80
€14.35
+32.8%
14.2%€17.51€10.30€6.0514
Oct ’23€12.70
€12.53
-1.3%
20.1%€16.51€8.26€10.0014
Sep ’23€10.00
€11.47
+14.7%
20.9%€15.86€7.93€12.3013
Aug ’23€8.90
€11.01
+23.7%
18.3%€14.94€7.97€13.5013
Jul ’23€6.95
€10.25
+47.6%
19.9%€14.39€7.67€12.9013
Jun ’23€5.95
€12.17
+104.6%
54.6%€32.77€5.62€11.2013
May ’23€6.80
€16.34
+140.3%
56.4%€33.19€7.59€11.8013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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