Stock Analysis

Fresenius SE KGaA (ETR:FRE) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

XTRA:FRE
Source: Shutterstock

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Fresenius SE KGaA (ETR:FRE), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fresenius SE KGaA:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.065 = €3.8b ÷ (€73b - €14b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

Thus, Fresenius SE KGaA has an ROCE of 6.5%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 6.5%.

View our latest analysis for Fresenius SE KGaA

roce
XTRA:FRE Return on Capital Employed July 1st 2022

In the above chart we have measured Fresenius SE KGaA's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Fresenius SE KGaA doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 10%, but since then they've fallen to 6.5%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

Our Take On Fresenius SE KGaA's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Fresenius SE KGaA's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 57% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.

Fresenius SE KGaA does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Fresenius SE KGaA that you might be interested in.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.