Treasury Wine Estates Limited

MUN:T7W0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.8b

Treasury Wine Estates Valuation

Is T7W0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of T7W0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: T7W0 (€6.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: T7W0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for T7W0?

Key metric: As T7W0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for T7W0. This is calculated by dividing T7W0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is T7W0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio94.8x
EarningsAU$98.90m
Market CapAU$9.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does T7W0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for T7W0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
SWA Schloss Wachenheim
15.9x17.7%€116.4m
SZU Südzucker
6.7x-10.2%€2.2b
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
10x-1.0%€2.0b
EMI Emperador
42.1x26.5%₱282.3b
T7W0 Treasury Wine Estates
94.8x26.8%€9.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: T7W0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.8x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does T7W0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
T7W0 94.8xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: T7W0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.8x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is T7W0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

T7W0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio94.8x
Fair PE Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: T7W0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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