Yihai International Holding Ltd.

DB:YIR Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.6b

Yihai International Holding Valuation

Is YIR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YIR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YIR (€1.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YIR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YIR?

Key metric: As YIR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YIR. This is calculated by dividing YIR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YIR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
EarningsCN¥803.15m
Market CapCN¥11.83b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YIR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YIR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
SZU Südzucker
6.8x-10.2%€2.3b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
15.8xn/a€630.5m
NLM FRoSTA
12.2xn/a€415.6m
SMB Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz
6.7xn/a€55.8m
YIR Yihai International Holding
14.6x11.4%€12.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YIR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YIR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YIR 14.6xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies18PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YIR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YIR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YIR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YIR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YIR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.57
€1.86
+18.4%
23.1%€3.17€1.35n/a17
Nov ’25€1.62
€1.82
+12.1%
23.8%€3.13€1.34n/a17
Oct ’25€1.82
€1.78
-2.1%
24.5%€3.10€1.32n/a17
Sep ’25€1.31
€1.79
+36.9%
25.1%€3.09€1.31n/a17
Aug ’25€1.32
€1.93
+46.4%
21.7%€3.08€1.37n/a17
Jul ’25€1.51
€2.03
+34.5%
14.7%€2.43€1.51n/a16
Jun ’25€1.70
€2.01
+18.4%
15.4%€2.41€1.49n/a16
May ’25€1.90
€1.95
+2.4%
14.0%€2.45€1.52n/a16
Apr ’25€1.71
€1.94
+13.7%
15.2%€2.56€1.51n/a16
Mar ’25€1.24
€1.83
+47.8%
25.0%€2.56€1.06n/a16
Feb ’25€1.14
€1.92
+68.8%
25.3%€2.65€1.07n/a16
Jan ’25€1.39
€2.36
+70.1%
25.3%€3.62€1.27n/a17
Dec ’24€1.42
€2.45
+72.4%
22.4%€3.68€1.67n/a17
Nov ’24€1.66
€2.53
+52.6%
21.1%€3.71€1.68€1.6218
Oct ’24€1.58
€2.52
+59.8%
20.6%€3.68€1.67€1.8218
Sep ’24€1.52
€2.53
+66.8%
20.7%€3.64€1.65€1.3119
Aug ’24€1.85
€2.78
+50.2%
15.5%€3.65€1.90€1.3219
Jul ’24€1.75
€2.95
+68.8%
14.1%€3.67€1.89€1.5119
Jun ’24€1.85
€3.07
+66.0%
13.5%€3.82€1.97€1.7019
May ’24€2.18
€3.07
+40.8%
13.2%€3.81€1.96€1.9019
Apr ’24€2.50
€2.92
+16.8%
17.9%€3.88€1.88€1.7115
Mar ’24€2.68
€2.91
+8.5%
23.2%€4.49€1.91€1.2416
Feb ’24€3.06
€2.87
-6.1%
23.4%€4.51€1.90€1.1417
Jan ’24€3.10
€2.60
-16.0%
18.9%€3.78€1.83€1.3918
Dec ’23€2.76
€2.61
-5.6%
18.9%€3.79€1.83€1.4218
Nov ’23€1.77
€2.67
+50.6%
17.3%€3.66€1.89€1.6618

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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