Olvi Oyj Valuation

Is OVI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OVI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OVI (€28.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€106.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OVI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OVI?

Key metric: As OVI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OVI. This is calculated by dividing OVI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OVI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
Earnings€60.64m
Market Cap€604.46m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OVI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OVI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.2x
KUL Kulmbacher Brauerei Aktien-Gesellschaft
23.7xn/a€140.4m
PKB Park & Bellheimer
5.3xn/a€10.5m
B9B BHB Brauholding Bayern-Mitte
68.1x35.4%€7.4m
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
15.5xn/a€630.5m
OVI Olvi Oyj
10x8.3%€604.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OVI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OVI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OVI 10.0xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OVI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OVI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OVI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OVI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OVI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.55
€35.33
+23.8%
3.5%€37.00€34.00n/a3
Nov ’25€29.25
€35.33
+20.8%
3.5%€37.00€34.00n/a3
Oct ’25€29.25
€35.33
+20.8%
3.5%€37.00€34.00n/a3
Sep ’25€31.05
€36.00
+15.9%
2.3%€37.00€35.00n/a3
Aug ’25€31.25
€36.00
+15.2%
2.3%€37.00€35.00n/a3
Jul ’25€31.75
€36.00
+13.4%
2.3%€37.00€35.00n/a3
Jun ’25€31.55
€36.00
+14.1%
2.3%€37.00€35.00n/a3
May ’25€29.60
€36.00
+21.6%
2.3%€37.00€35.00n/a3
Apr ’25€30.20
€36.00
+19.2%
2.3%€37.00€35.00n/a3
Mar ’25€30.35
€36.00
+18.6%
2.3%€37.00€35.00n/a3
Feb ’25€31.30
€34.00
+8.6%
4.2%€35.00€32.00n/a3
Jan ’25€27.65
€34.67
+25.4%
5.9%€37.00€32.00n/a3
Dec ’24€29.00
€34.67
+19.5%
5.9%€37.00€32.00n/a3
Nov ’24€27.40
€35.00
+27.7%
4.7%€37.00€33.00€29.253
Oct ’24€29.70
€35.33
+19.0%
4.8%€37.00€33.00€29.253
Sep ’24€30.35
€35.33
+16.4%
4.8%€37.00€33.00€31.053
Aug ’24€28.40
€34.00
+19.7%
2.9%€35.00€33.00€31.252
Jul ’24€28.55
€34.00
+19.1%
2.9%€35.00€33.00€31.752
Jun ’24€26.65
€34.00
+27.6%
2.9%€35.00€33.00€31.552
May ’24€29.25
€34.00
+16.2%
2.9%€35.00€33.00€29.602
Apr ’24€28.80
€34.50
+19.8%
4.3%€36.00€33.00€30.202
Mar ’24€29.65
€34.50
+16.4%
4.3%€36.00€33.00€30.352
Feb ’24€32.05
€37.00
+15.4%
5.4%€39.00€35.00€31.302
Jan ’24€31.95
€37.00
+15.8%
5.4%€39.00€35.00€27.652
Dec ’23€32.15
€37.00
+15.1%
5.4%€39.00€35.00€29.002
Nov ’23€31.10
€37.50
+20.6%
6.7%€40.00€35.00€27.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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