Orkla Valuation

Is OKL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OKL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OKL (€6.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€9.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OKL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OKL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OKL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.2x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OKL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OKL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
SZU Südzucker
4.3x-45.2%€2.7b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
20.1xn/a€651.5m
NLM FRoSTA
13.6xn/a€463.3m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
17.9x15.5%€1.7b
OKL Orkla
14.5x7.8%€75.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the peer average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OKL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OKL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the European Food industry average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OKL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OKL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.5x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OKL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OKL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.36
€6.96
+9.6%
7.3%€7.67€6.31n/a7
Apr ’25€6.57
€7.32
+11.4%
10.8%€8.85€6.37n/a7
Mar ’25€6.56
€7.32
+11.5%
10.8%€8.85€6.37n/a7
Feb ’25€7.18
€7.56
+5.4%
15.3%€9.35€6.29n/a7
Jan ’25€6.87
€7.33
+6.7%
15.1%€9.08€6.11n/a7
Dec ’24€6.71
€7.52
+12.2%
13.8%€9.15€6.16n/a7
Nov ’24€6.47
€7.44
+14.9%
15.4%€9.06€6.10n/a7
Oct ’24€7.14
€7.54
+5.5%
15.8%€9.13€5.82n/a7
Sep ’24€6.98
€7.80
+11.8%
15.8%€9.43€6.02n/a7
Aug ’24€7.10
€7.80
+9.8%
15.8%€9.43€6.02n/a7
Jul ’24€6.48
€6.90
+6.5%
14.9%€8.16€5.27n/a7
Jun ’24€6.68
€6.90
+3.3%
14.9%€8.16€5.27n/a7
May ’24€6.43
€6.54
+1.7%
8.2%€7.13€5.53€6.426
Apr ’24€6.42
€6.36
-0.9%
8.5%€7.01€5.43€6.576
Mar ’24€6.33
€6.56
+3.6%
8.2%€7.29€5.65€6.567
Feb ’24€6.80
€6.85
+0.8%
8.4%€7.87€6.02€7.187
Jan ’24€6.78
€7.07
+4.3%
11.3%€8.62€6.13€6.877
Dec ’23€6.85
€7.46
+8.9%
11.3%€8.79€6.25€6.717
Nov ’23€6.79
€7.57
+11.6%
9.4%€8.74€6.60€6.477
Oct ’23€7.53
€8.70
+15.5%
10.7%€10.36€7.60€7.147
Sep ’23€8.22
€8.70
+5.9%
10.7%€10.36€7.60€6.987
Aug ’23€8.24
€8.70
+5.5%
10.7%€10.36€7.60€7.107
Jul ’23€7.51
€8.46
+12.6%
12.6%€10.24€7.02€6.487
Jun ’23€7.30
€8.46
+15.9%
12.6%€10.24€7.02€6.687
May ’23€7.73
€9.44
+22.2%
11.8%€10.47€7.64€6.437

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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