Marfrig Global Foods Valuation

Is MGP1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MGP1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MGP1 (€2.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MGP1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MGP1?

Key metric: As MGP1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MGP1. This is calculated by dividing MGP1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MGP1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2.5x
EarningsR$6.78b
Market CapR$16.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MGP1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MGP1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11x
SZU Südzucker
6.7x-10.2%€2.2b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
15xn/a€598.9m
NLM FRoSTA
12.2xn/a€408.8m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
10x-1.0%€2.0b
MGP1 Marfrig Global Foods
2.5x-121.0%€16.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MGP1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MGP1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MGP1 2.5xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies19PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MGP1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MGP1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MGP1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.5x
Fair PE Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MGP1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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