Australian Vintage Ltd

DB:MGE Stock Report

Market Cap: €26.8m

Australian Vintage Valuation

Is MGE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MGE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€0.99
Fair Value
92.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MGE (€0.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MGE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MGE?

Key metric: As MGE is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MGE. This is calculated by dividing MGE's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MGE's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesAU$260.59m
Market CapAU$44.48m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MGE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MGE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
BEZ Berentzen-Gruppe
0.2x4.0%€35.6m
1SK Sektkellerei J.Oppmann
1.4xn/a€5.9m
SWA Schloss Wachenheim
0.3x4.5%€114.8m
ALB Allgäuer Brauhaus
2xn/a€79.2m
MGE Australian Vintage
0.2x2.0%€44.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MGE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MGE's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.2x3.8%
MGE Australian Vintage
 0.2x2.0%US$27.65m
MGE 0.2xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies9PS00.81.62.43.24+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.2x10.9%
MGE Australian Vintage
 0.2x107.7%US$27.65m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MGE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MGE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MGE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.08x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MGE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MGE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.073
€0.17
+132.2%
30.9%€0.22€0.12n/a2
Jan ’26€0.072
€0.17
+133.8%
30.9%€0.22€0.12n/a2
Dec ’25€0.077
€0.17
+118.7%
30.9%€0.22€0.12n/a2
Nov ’25€0.079
€0.17
+115.9%
30.9%€0.22€0.12n/a2
Oct ’25€0.089
€0.17
+86.5%
30.9%€0.22€0.12n/a2
Sep ’25€0.08
€0.17
+108.6%
30.9%€0.22€0.12n/a2
Aug ’25€0.07
€0.19
+174.9%
32.3%€0.25€0.13n/a2
Jul ’25€0.081
€0.19
+135.9%
32.3%€0.25€0.13n/a2
Jun ’25n/a
€0.33
0%
24.1%€0.41€0.25n/a2
May ’25€0.22
€0.32
+45.7%
19.3%€0.41€0.25n/a4
Apr ’25€0.23
€0.28
+24.6%
12.5%€0.33€0.25n/a3
Mar ’25€0.21
€0.29
+38.3%
15.1%€0.35€0.25n/a3
Feb ’25€0.21
€0.31
+43.5%
9.7%€0.35€0.28n/a3
Jan ’25€0.24
€0.31
+30.1%
9.7%€0.35€0.28€0.0723
Dec ’24€0.24
€0.31
+29.0%
9.7%€0.35€0.28€0.0773
Nov ’24€0.22
€0.36
+60.5%
27.2%€0.52€0.27€0.0794
Oct ’24€0.22
€0.36
+63.4%
27.2%€0.52€0.27€0.0894
Sep ’24€0.23
€0.36
+57.7%
27.2%€0.52€0.27€0.084
Aug ’24€0.24
€0.38
+57.0%
26.9%€0.55€0.29€0.074
Jul ’24€0.23
€0.38
+63.7%
26.9%€0.55€0.29€0.0814
Jun ’24€0.27
€0.44
+60.8%
14.9%€0.54€0.37n/a4
May ’24€0.29
€0.44
+49.8%
14.9%€0.54€0.37€0.224
Apr ’24€0.32
€0.43
+34.8%
10.0%€0.48€0.38€0.233
Mar ’24€0.37
€0.43
+15.8%
10.0%€0.48€0.38€0.213
Feb ’24€0.39
€0.49
+26.1%
11.8%€0.56€0.42€0.213
Jan ’24€0.38
€0.49
+30.1%
11.8%€0.56€0.42€0.243
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
€0.15
Fair Value
50.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 14:34
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Australian Vintage Ltd is covered by 9 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Sam BrandwoodBell Potter
Paresh PatelCCZ Equities Pty Limited