The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.

DB:HF1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €615.5m

Hain Celestial Group Valuation

Is HF1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HF1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HF1 (€6.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HF1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HF1?

Key metric: As HF1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HF1. This is calculated by dividing HF1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HF1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUS$1.71b
Market CapUS$652.10m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HF1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HF1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
1.7xn/a€677.7m
NLM FRoSTA
0.6xn/a€405.3m
SZU Südzucker
0.2x0.5%€2.3b
SMB Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz
0.3xn/a€55.8m
HF1 Hain Celestial Group
0.4x1.5%€652.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HF1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HF1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

36 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HF1 0.4xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies47PS00.81.62.43.24+
36 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HF1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Food industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HF1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HF1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: HF1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HF1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.80
€9.12
+34.1%
23.2%€14.08€7.51n/a13
Nov ’25€8.21
€9.37
+14.1%
19.8%€13.91€7.42n/a13
Oct ’25€7.58
€9.12
+20.3%
19.8%€13.54€7.22n/a13
Sep ’25€7.04
€9.09
+29.1%
19.8%€13.50€7.20n/a13
Aug ’25€6.99
€8.71
+24.5%
23.3%€13.80€6.44n/a13
Jul ’25€6.26
€8.71
+39.0%
23.3%€13.80€6.44n/a13
Jun ’25€6.49
€8.71
+34.2%
23.3%€13.80€6.44n/a13
May ’25€5.80
€10.55
+81.7%
24.6%€16.79€7.46n/a13
Apr ’25€7.26
€11.24
+54.9%
19.6%€16.65€9.25n/a13
Mar ’25€9.18
€11.24
+22.5%
19.6%€16.65€9.25n/a13
Feb ’25€9.84
€12.52
+27.2%
30.0%€23.08€9.23n/a12
Jan ’25€9.95
€12.57
+26.3%
30.1%€22.90€9.16n/a12
Dec ’24€9.68
€12.95
+33.7%
29.3%€23.40€9.36n/a12
Nov ’24€10.36
€13.56
+30.9%
36.3%€28.39€10.41€8.2112
Oct ’24€9.34
€14.07
+50.6%
38.2%€28.14€10.32€7.5812
Sep ’24€9.69
€14.41
+48.7%
34.7%€27.73€10.17€7.0412
Aug ’24€11.00
€15.13
+37.6%
29.3%€26.97€11.69€6.9912
Jul ’24€11.54
€15.74
+36.4%
27.8%€27.37€11.86€6.2612
Jun ’24€11.32
€16.82
+48.5%
23.3%€27.64€12.90€6.4912
May ’24€15.88
€20.83
+31.1%
29.9%€38.29€14.59€5.8013
Apr ’24€15.12
€21.42
+41.7%
30.8%€39.11€14.90€7.2612
Mar ’24€16.69
€21.38
+28.1%
30.1%€39.44€15.03€9.1813
Feb ’24€18.67
€21.31
+14.1%
30.4%€38.65€14.72€9.8413
Jan ’24€15.11
€23.23
+53.7%
28.4%€39.36€15.93€9.9514
Dec ’23€17.76
€24.96
+40.5%
27.8%€40.38€17.31€9.6813
Nov ’23€18.74
€26.52
+41.5%
29.0%€42.15€16.06€10.3613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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