Hotel Chocolat Group Valuation

Is H0C undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of H0C when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: H0C (€4.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: H0C is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for H0C?

Key metric: As H0C is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for H0C. This is calculated by dividing H0C's market cap by their current revenue.
What is H0C's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.6x
SalesUK£204.50m
Market CapUK£526.59m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does H0C's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for H0C vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
1.7xn/a€609.4m
NLM FRoSTA
0.6xn/a€415.6m
SZU Südzucker
0.2x0.5%€2.2b
SMB Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz
0.3xn/a€55.8m
H0C Hotel Chocolat Group
2.6x5.4%€526.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: H0C is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does H0C's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
H0C 2.6xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies48PS00.81.62.43.24+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: H0C is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the European Food industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is H0C's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

H0C PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: H0C is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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