Coca-Cola HBC Valuation

Is C0Q undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C0Q when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C0Q (€32.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€56.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C0Q is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C0Q?

Key metric: As C0Q is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for C0Q. This is calculated by dividing C0Q's market cap by their current earnings.
What is C0Q's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19x
Earnings€632.40m
Market Cap€12.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C0Q's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C0Q vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.9x
MUT Mineralbrunnen Überkingen-Teinach GmbH KGaA
11.6xn/a€98.7m
PRMB Primo Brands
81.5x107.5%US$11.8b
SZU Südzucker
6.3x-10.2%€2.1b
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated
20.4xn/aUS$10.8b
C0Q Coca-Cola HBC
19x12.6%€9.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C0Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (28.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C0Q's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
C0Q 19.0xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C0Q is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C0Q's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C0Q PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ratio23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C0Q is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C0Q forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€32.82
€36.68
+11.8%
9.3%€41.57€29.13n/a15
Dec ’25€34.06
€35.42
+4.0%
8.0%€38.94€29.13n/a14
Nov ’25€32.34
€34.48
+6.6%
9.4%€38.23€28.05n/a14
Oct ’25€31.80
€33.70
+6.0%
9.3%€37.92€27.41n/a14
Sep ’25€33.32
€33.73
+1.2%
8.0%€37.92€27.41n/a14
Aug ’25€34.18
€33.46
-2.1%
8.5%€37.89€27.75n/a14
Jul ’25€32.48
€33.02
+1.7%
8.1%€37.60€27.48n/a14
Jun ’25€31.26
€32.60
+4.3%
8.1%€35.14€27.48n/a14
May ’25€30.24
€32.60
+7.8%
8.0%€35.14€27.48n/a14
Apr ’25€29.35
€32.05
+9.2%
8.1%€35.01€27.47n/a14
Mar ’25€28.85
€31.74
+10.0%
8.1%€35.10€27.47n/a15
Feb ’25€26.96
€30.13
+11.8%
9.4%€34.76€26.23n/a15
Jan ’25€26.40
€29.77
+12.8%
9.9%€34.67€25.88n/a15
Dec ’24€25.94
€29.64
+14.3%
11.1%€35.66€25.88€34.0614
Nov ’24€24.10
€30.00
+24.5%
10.5%€35.77€25.88€32.3414
Oct ’24€25.77
€31.49
+22.2%
10.0%€36.72€26.73€31.8015
Sep ’24€26.70
€31.74
+18.9%
9.2%€36.49€26.73€33.3217
Aug ’24€26.65
€31.88
+19.6%
10.8%€36.92€23.66€34.1816
Jul ’24€27.17
€30.74
+13.2%
9.9%€34.55€23.66€32.4817
Jun ’24€27.72
€30.62
+10.5%
10.1%€34.55€23.66€31.2617
May ’24€27.32
€28.34
+3.8%
11.3%€34.17€23.66€30.2415
Apr ’24€24.86
€27.57
+10.9%
9.6%€31.72€23.66€29.3514
Mar ’24€24.64
€27.55
+11.8%
9.7%€31.70€23.66€28.8514
Feb ’24€22.09
€26.43
+19.7%
8.3%€30.74€23.66€26.9614
Jan ’24€22.12
€27.95
+26.4%
10.3%€33.85€23.85€26.4013
Dec ’23€23.30
€27.91
+19.8%
10.2%€33.85€23.85€25.9413

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/29 03:55
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/06/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Coca-Cola HBC AG is covered by 46 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nikos KatsenosAlpha Finance Investment Services S.A.
Antonis DiapoulisAlpha Finance Investment Services S.A.
Alexandra OldroydBarclays