A.G. BARR p.l.c.

DB:AF72 Stock Report

Market Cap: €823.7m

A.G. BARR Valuation

Is AF72 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AF72 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AF72 (€7.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AF72 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AF72?

Key metric: As AF72 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AF72. This is calculated by dividing AF72's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AF72's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.9x
EarningsUK£36.20m
Market CapUK£685.21m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AF72's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AF72 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
MUT Mineralbrunnen Überkingen-Teinach GmbH KGaA
11.9xn/a€99.5m
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
15xn/a€598.9m
NLM FRoSTA
12.1xn/a€415.6m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
10x-1.0%€2.0b
AF72 A.G. BARR
18.9x15.6%€685.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AF72 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AF72's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AF72 18.9xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AF72 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AF72's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AF72 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.9x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AF72 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AF72 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.25
€8.55
+17.9%
11.7%€9.50€6.28n/a7
Nov ’25€7.25
€8.49
+17.2%
11.7%€9.45€6.24n/a7
Oct ’25€7.30
€8.39
+14.9%
11.7%€9.46€6.25n/a8
Sep ’25€7.65
€7.94
+3.8%
11.3%€9.27€6.13n/a7
Aug ’25€7.45
€8.02
+7.6%
11.3%€9.38€6.20n/a7
Jul ’25€7.10
€7.61
+7.2%
8.9%€8.19€6.11n/a7
Jun ’25€6.90
€7.61
+10.3%
8.9%€8.19€6.11n/a7
May ’25€6.50
€7.61
+17.1%
8.9%€8.19€6.11n/a7
Apr ’25€6.55
€7.36
+12.3%
8.1%€8.00€6.09n/a7
Mar ’25€5.85
€7.22
+23.4%
8.6%€8.00€6.04n/a7
Feb ’25€6.55
€7.10
+8.4%
8.0%€8.03€6.06n/a8
Jan ’25€5.75
€6.85
+19.2%
6.5%€7.63€5.93n/a8
Dec ’24€5.35
€6.85
+28.1%
6.5%€7.63€5.93n/a8
Nov ’24€5.40
€6.88
+27.4%
7.1%€7.69€5.97€7.257
Oct ’24€5.50
€6.88
+25.1%
7.1%€7.68€5.97€7.307
Sep ’24€5.55
€6.91
+24.5%
7.2%€7.73€6.01€7.657
Aug ’24€5.25
€6.91
+31.5%
7.5%€7.77€6.04€7.457
Jul ’24€5.30
€6.91
+30.3%
7.5%€7.77€6.04€7.107
Jun ’24€5.80
€6.91
+19.1%
7.3%€7.67€5.96€6.906
May ’24€5.60
€6.99
+24.9%
4.4%€7.56€6.71€6.505
Apr ’24€5.60
€6.99
+24.9%
4.4%€7.56€6.71€6.555
Mar ’24€6.10
€6.77
+10.9%
6.8%€7.50€5.83€5.857
Feb ’24€6.00
€6.74
+12.4%
7.2%€7.49€5.82€6.556
Jan ’24€5.80
€6.79
+17.0%
8.7%€7.71€5.99€5.756
Dec ’23€5.65
€6.60
+16.8%
9.0%€7.60€5.91€5.356
Nov ’23€5.00
€6.60
+31.9%
9.0%€7.60€5.91€5.406

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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