A.G. BARR Valuation

Is AF72 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AF72 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AF72 (€6.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AF72 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AF72?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AF72 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.3x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AF72's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AF72 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
MUT Mineralbrunnen Überkingen-Teinach GmbH KGaA
17.6xn/a€103.8m
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
20.1xn/a€651.5m
NLM FRoSTA
13xn/a€442.8m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
10x-3.5%€1.9b
AF72 A.G. BARR
17.1x11.2%€657.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AF72 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the peer average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AF72's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AF72 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (18.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AF72's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AF72 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AF72 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AF72 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.50
€7.56
+16.2%
9.6%€8.16€6.09n/a6
May ’25€6.50
€7.58
+16.7%
9.6%€8.19€6.11n/a6
Apr ’25€6.55
€7.36
+12.3%
8.1%€8.00€6.09n/a7
Mar ’25€5.85
€7.22
+23.4%
8.6%€8.00€6.04n/a7
Feb ’25€6.55
€7.10
+8.4%
8.0%€8.03€6.06n/a8
Jan ’25€5.75
€6.85
+19.2%
6.5%€7.63€5.93n/a8
Dec ’24€5.35
€6.85
+28.1%
6.5%€7.63€5.93n/a8
Nov ’24€5.40
€6.88
+27.4%
7.1%€7.69€5.97n/a7
Oct ’24€5.50
€6.88
+25.1%
7.1%€7.68€5.97n/a7
Sep ’24€5.55
€6.91
+24.5%
7.2%€7.73€6.01n/a7
Aug ’24€5.25
€6.91
+31.5%
7.5%€7.77€6.04n/a7
Jul ’24€5.30
€6.91
+30.3%
7.5%€7.77€6.04n/a7
Jun ’24€5.80
€6.91
+19.1%
7.3%€7.67€5.96n/a6
May ’24€5.60
€6.99
+24.9%
4.4%€7.56€6.71€6.505
Apr ’24€5.60
€6.99
+24.9%
4.4%€7.56€6.71€6.555
Mar ’24€6.10
€6.77
+10.9%
6.8%€7.50€5.83€5.857
Feb ’24€6.00
€6.74
+12.4%
7.2%€7.49€5.82€6.556
Jan ’24€5.80
€6.79
+17.0%
8.7%€7.71€5.99€5.756
Dec ’23€5.65
€6.60
+16.8%
9.0%€7.60€5.91€5.356
Nov ’23€5.00
€6.60
+31.9%
9.0%€7.60€5.91€5.406
Oct ’23€5.00
€6.80
+36.1%
9.7%€7.58€5.89€5.506
Sep ’23€5.50
€7.40
+34.5%
8.9%€8.19€6.14€5.556
Aug ’23€6.20
€7.32
+18.0%
9.0%€8.08€6.06€5.256
Jul ’23€5.75
€7.32
+27.2%
9.0%€8.08€6.06€5.306
Jun ’23€6.00
€7.32
+21.9%
9.0%€8.08€6.06€5.806
May ’23€6.70
€7.45
+11.1%
9.0%€8.23€6.16€5.606

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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