The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd.

DB:8WC Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.0b

Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd Valuation

Is 8WC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8WC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8WC (€29.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€239.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8WC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8WC?

Key metric: As 8WC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8WC. This is calculated by dividing 8WC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8WC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsJP¥14.69b
Market CapJP¥164.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8WC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8WC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
15.8xn/a€630.5m
SZU Südzucker
6.8x-10.2%€2.3b
NLM FRoSTA
12.2xn/a€415.6m
SMB Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz
6.7xn/a€55.8m
8WC Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd
11.2x8.9%€164.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8WC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8WC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8WC 11.2xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8WC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8WC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8WC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8WC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8WC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€29.60
€43.93
+48.4%
0.7%€44.24€43.61n/a2
Nov ’25€29.00
€43.93
+51.5%
0.7%€44.24€43.61n/a2
Oct ’25€30.60
€43.93
+43.5%
0.7%€44.24€43.61n/a2
Sep ’25€31.40
€41.85
+33.3%
3.0%€43.09€40.60n/a2
Jun ’25€28.00
€37.44
+33.7%
2.4%€38.33€36.56n/a2
May ’25€29.40
€36.13
+22.9%
11.0%€39.80€30.62n/a3
Apr ’25€30.20
€36.13
+19.6%
11.0%€39.80€30.62n/a3
Mar ’25€31.00
€30.69
-1.0%
0.9%€30.89€30.28n/a3
Feb ’25€28.00
€29.47
+5.3%
9.7%€31.81€25.44n/a3
Jan ’25€26.80
€29.47
+10.0%
9.7%€31.81€25.44n/a3
Dec ’24€25.80
€27.25
+5.6%
10.1%€30.01€24.50n/a2
Nov ’24€26.20
€28.31
+8.0%
10.1%€31.17€25.44€29.002
Sep ’24€25.80
€28.04
+8.7%
10.1%€30.87€25.20€31.402
Aug ’24€24.00
€26.74
+11.4%
16.7%€31.20€22.29€30.002
Jul ’24€21.20
€23.51
+10.9%
6.1%€24.94€22.09€27.402
Jun ’24€21.40
€23.51
+9.9%
6.1%€24.94€22.09€28.002
May ’24€22.20
€23.51
+5.9%
6.1%€24.94€22.09€29.402
Apr ’24€21.80
€23.51
+7.9%
6.1%€24.94€22.09€30.202
Mar ’24€22.60
€23.51
+4.0%
6.1%€24.94€22.09€31.002
Feb ’24€22.00
€21.64
-1.6%
1.6%€21.99€21.30€28.002
Jan ’24€22.80
€21.64
-5.1%
1.6%€21.99€21.30€26.802
Dec ’23€23.00
€21.64
-5.9%
1.6%€21.99€21.30€25.802

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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