Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd.

DB:7NF Stock Report

Market Cap: €47.0b

Nongfu Spring Valuation

Is 7NF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7NF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7NF (€4.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7NF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7NF?

Key metric: As 7NF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7NF. This is calculated by dividing 7NF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7NF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.5x
EarningsCN¥12.54b
Market CapCN¥357.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7NF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7NF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
MNST Monster Beverage
31.8x11.4%US$51.2b
MUT Mineralbrunnen Überkingen-Teinach GmbH KGaA
11.6xn/a€97.2m
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper
19.2x6.3%US$43.8b
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
21x8.9%€33.8b
7NF Nongfu Spring
28.5x10.2%€380.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7NF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7NF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7NF 28.5xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7NF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7NF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7NF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7NF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7NF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.12
€4.26
+3.3%
20.5%€6.03€2.34n/a20
Dec ’25€4.00
€4.17
+4.2%
20.2%€5.98€2.31n/a21
Nov ’25€3.48
€4.07
+16.9%
20.6%€5.96€2.26n/a21
Oct ’25€3.92
€4.02
+2.6%
22.8%€6.40€2.19n/a21
Sep ’25€3.38
€4.36
+29.0%
25.9%€6.99€2.21n/a21
Aug ’25€3.46
€5.15
+48.8%
17.2%€6.97€3.08n/a20
Jul ’25€4.34
€5.88
+35.4%
11.3%€7.06€4.35n/a20
Jun ’25€4.86
€5.82
+19.7%
11.3%€6.99€4.31n/a20
May ’25€5.45
€5.85
+7.3%
11.4%€6.99€4.34n/a19
Apr ’25€4.95
€5.80
+17.3%
11.4%€6.99€4.34n/a19
Mar ’25€5.04
€5.83
+15.7%
12.2%€6.96€4.09n/a20
Feb ’25€4.95
€5.86
+18.5%
12.3%€7.03€4.14n/a20
Jan ’25€5.18
€5.92
+14.3%
13.0%€6.92€3.94n/a20
Dec ’24€5.16
€5.98
+15.9%
12.7%€6.87€3.97€4.0020
Nov ’24€5.40
€6.03
+11.7%
12.5%€6.92€4.08€3.4820
Oct ’24€5.34
€6.04
+13.0%
12.5%€6.86€4.05€3.9220
Sep ’24€5.00
€5.91
+18.3%
12.8%€6.77€4.00€3.3819
Aug ’24€5.21
€5.65
+8.5%
14.1%€6.71€3.60€3.4617
Jul ’24€5.00
€5.59
+11.8%
13.4%€6.72€3.64€4.3417
Jun ’24€4.86
€5.74
+18.1%
13.0%€6.69€3.69€4.8617
May ’24€4.84
€5.70
+17.7%
13.4%€6.65€3.56€5.4517
Apr ’24€5.12
€5.80
+13.3%
13.8%€6.82€3.65€4.9516
Mar ’24€5.20
€5.94
+14.1%
15.3%€7.01€3.15€5.0418
Feb ’24€5.01
€5.85
+16.6%
15.4%€6.89€3.10€4.9518
Jan ’24€5.16
€5.84
+13.2%
15.7%€6.87€3.09€5.1818
Dec ’23€5.29
€5.96
+12.5%
14.6%€6.95€3.18€5.1617

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 11:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd. is covered by 38 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hong Xing PanABCI Securities Company Limited
Jiangqiao TongBOCI Research Ltd.
Penny PengBOCI Research Ltd.