Freshpet, Inc.

DB:7FP Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.4b

Freshpet Valuation

Is 7FP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7FP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€146.39
Fair Value
2.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 7FP (€150.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€146.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7FP is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7FP?

Key metric: As 7FP is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 7FP. This is calculated by dividing 7FP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 7FP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.2x
SalesUS$927.89m
Market CapUS$7.62b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 7FP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 7FP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
SZU Südzucker
0.2x-1.8%€2.1b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
1.7xn/a€593.7m
NLM FRoSTA
0.8xn/a€483.7m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
1.1x4.2%€1.9b
7FP Freshpet
8.2x17.4%€7.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 7FP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 7FP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

34 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7FP 8.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies45PS00.81.62.43.24+
34 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 7FP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7FP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7FP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 7FP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7FP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€150.15
€160.82
+7.1%
13.4%€183.56€101.00n/a19
Jan ’26€139.35
€159.71
+14.6%
13.4%€182.29€100.31n/a19
Dec ’25€144.85
€155.98
+7.7%
13.2%€178.61€98.28n/a19
Nov ’25€118.85
€140.06
+17.8%
12.6%€169.24€87.86n/a18
Oct ’25€122.10
€130.57
+6.9%
12.9%€157.17€85.32n/a18
Sep ’25€121.95
€127.91
+4.9%
12.4%€156.78€85.11n/a18
Aug ’25€112.85
€128.55
+13.9%
13.0%€154.88€81.13n/a18
Jul ’25€120.20
€128.62
+7.0%
12.9%€156.46€81.95n/a18
Jun ’25€119.05
€124.82
+4.8%
13.0%€155.40€78.63n/a18
May ’25€100.15
€111.68
+11.5%
15.1%€129.87€63.99n/a18
Apr ’25€104.75
€108.49
+3.6%
15.1%€128.48€63.31n/a17
Mar ’25€104.45
€104.17
-0.3%
15.4%€119.96€62.75n/a17
Feb ’25€79.52
€84.91
+6.8%
13.7%€96.60€61.64n/a17
Jan ’25€78.70
€80.99
+2.9%
13.2%€95.26€61.37€139.3517
Dec ’24€64.64
€81.08
+25.4%
13.2%€93.50€62.65€144.8514
Nov ’24€53.32
€82.19
+54.1%
14.7%€94.42€46.92€118.8514
Oct ’24€61.54
€86.10
+39.9%
8.1%€94.62€75.70€122.1013
Sep ’24€69.34
€83.58
+20.5%
8.5%€91.85€73.48€121.9512
Aug ’24€66.56
€70.12
+5.3%
12.9%€90.14€49.58€112.8514
Jul ’24€59.08
€71.83
+21.6%
13.0%€92.01€50.61€120.2014
Jun ’24€55.62
€71.94
+29.3%
12.1%€91.94€50.57€119.0516
May ’24€61.16
€68.99
+12.8%
12.8%€91.15€50.13€100.1516
Apr ’24€60.26
€68.55
+13.8%
13.4%€92.05€50.63€104.7517
Mar ’24€58.48
€70.39
+20.4%
13.4%€94.52€51.99€104.4517
Feb ’24€57.88
€65.99
+14.0%
18.3%€92.10€36.84€79.5217
Jan ’24€48.55
€67.26
+38.5%
18.5%€94.34€37.74€78.7017
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
€158.41
Fair Value
5.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 16:13
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Freshpet, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Edward LewisAtlantic Equities LLP
Peter BenedictBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research