Stock Analysis

Is KWS SAAT SE KGaA (ETR:KWS) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:KWS
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA (ETR:KWS) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for KWS SAAT SE KGaA

How Much Debt Does KWS SAAT SE KGaA Carry?

As you can see below, KWS SAAT SE KGaA had €815.4m of debt at March 2024, down from €955.2m a year prior. On the flip side, it has €306.0m in cash leading to net debt of about €509.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:KWS Debt to Equity History August 12th 2024

A Look At KWS SAAT SE KGaA's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, KWS SAAT SE KGaA had liabilities of €1.28b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €607.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €306.0m in cash and €913.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €671.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because KWS SAAT SE KGaA is worth €2.12b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

KWS SAAT SE KGaA has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, KWS SAAT SE KGaA grew its EBIT by 80% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KWS SAAT SE KGaA can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, KWS SAAT SE KGaA created free cash flow amounting to 13% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

KWS SAAT SE KGaA's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that KWS SAAT SE KGaA can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for KWS SAAT SE KGaA you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KWS SAAT SE KGaA might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.