Shepherd Neame Valuation

Is 43Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 43Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 43Y (€6.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€2.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 43Y is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 43Y?

Key metric: As 43Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 43Y. This is calculated by dividing 43Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 43Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.8x
EarningsUK£4.87m
Market CapUK£81.81m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 43Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 43Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.5x
KUL Kulmbacher Brauerei Aktien-Gesellschaft
23.3xn/a€138.4m
PKB Park & Bellheimer
5.4xn/a€10.8m
B9B BHB Brauholding Bayern-Mitte
65.3x35.4%€7.1m
MUT Mineralbrunnen Überkingen-Teinach GmbH KGaA
11.9xn/a€98.2m
43Y Shepherd Neame
16.8x8.0%€81.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 43Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the peer average (26.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 43Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
43Y 16.8xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 43Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 43Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

43Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 43Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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