OMV Petrom S.A.

DB:XNE Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.5b

OMV Petrom Valuation

Is XNE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XNE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€0.077
Fair Value
58.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: XNE (€0.12) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XNE is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XNE?

Key metric: As XNE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XNE. This is calculated by dividing XNE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XNE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsRON 3.86b
Market CapRON 43.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XNE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XNE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
27.5x11.65%€1.2b
GALP Galp Energia SGPS
9.3x-0.58%€9.5b
REP Repsol
12.2x16.79%€13.3b
600256 Guanghui Energy
13.1x11.46%CN¥37.2b
XNE OMV Petrom
11.2x4.72%€43.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XNE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XNE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XNE 11.2xIndustry Avg. 9.3xNo. of Companies14PE0612182430+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XNE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (9.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XNE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XNE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XNE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XNE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.12
€0.16
+29.32%
4.12%€0.17€0.15n/a6
May ’26€0.15
€0.16
+6.91%
4.12%€0.17€0.15n/a6
Apr ’26€0.13
€0.16
+23.75%
4.12%€0.17€0.15n/a6
Mar ’26n/a
€0.15
0%
14.50%€0.17€0.10n/a7
Feb ’26n/a
€0.15
0%
15.65%€0.17€0.10n/a6
Jan ’26n/a
€0.15
0%
15.65%€0.17€0.10n/a6
Dec ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
15.65%€0.17€0.10n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
16.05%€0.16€0.10n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
14.62%€0.16€0.11n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
17.42%€0.19€0.11n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
17.42%€0.19€0.11n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
15.78%€0.19€0.11n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
15.78%€0.19€0.11n/a6
May ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
15.78%€0.19€0.11€0.156
Apr ’25n/a
€0.15
0%
13.73%€0.19€0.13€0.134
Mar ’25n/a
€0.13
0%
14.29%€0.15€0.11n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
€0.13
0%
16.18%€0.16€0.11n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€0.12
0%
16.54%€0.16€0.11n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
16.54%€0.16€0.11n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
15.88%€0.16€0.11n/a6
Oct ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
15.88%€0.16€0.11n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
7.91%€0.13€0.11n/a6
Aug ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
8.62%€0.13€0.10n/a6
Jul ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
6.98%€0.13€0.10n/a6
Jun ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
6.98%€0.13€0.10n/a6
May ’24n/a
€0.12
0%
6.98%€0.13€0.10n/a6
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
€0.14
Fair Value
13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/23 17:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/23 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

OMV Petrom S.A. is covered by 16 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Attila VágóConCorde Securities Ltd.
Mihály GajdaConCorde Securities Ltd.
Tamas PletserErste Group Bank AG