Coterra Energy Inc.

DB:XCQ Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.0b

Coterra Energy Valuation

Is XCQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XCQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€84.76
Fair Value
68.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
26
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: XCQ (€26.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€84.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XCQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XCQ?

Key metric: As XCQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XCQ. This is calculated by dividing XCQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XCQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.7x
EarningsUS$1.24b
Market CapUS$20.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XCQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XCQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.2x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
3.1x-9.0%€180.0m
DVN Devon Energy
6.4x-3.2%US$22.0b
TATN PJSC Tatneft
4.6xn/a₽915.4b
PTTEP PTT Exploration and Production
6.6x-8.3%฿498.2b
XCQ Coterra Energy
16.7x25.4%€20.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XCQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the peer average (5.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XCQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XCQ 16.7xIndustry Avg. 8.9xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XCQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XCQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XCQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.7x
Fair PE Ratio25.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XCQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XCQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.17
€33.03
+26.2%
7.5%€38.44€26.91n/a26
Jan ’26€23.46
€31.68
+35.1%
6.2%€36.45€28.77n/a24
Dec ’25€25.01
€31.25
+25.0%
7.0%€36.27€27.68n/a25
Nov ’25€21.25
€28.25
+32.9%
8.1%€34.14€23.99n/a27
Oct ’25€21.98
€28.09
+27.8%
9.0%€32.52€23.49n/a27
Sep ’25€21.89
€29.67
+35.6%
9.6%€36.89€23.39n/a27
Aug ’25€23.57
€31.10
+32.0%
9.5%€37.79€26.73n/a26
Jul ’25€24.86
€31.67
+27.4%
10.2%€38.31€27.09n/a25
Jun ’25€25.37
€31.09
+22.5%
11.1%€37.79€26.19n/a24
May ’25€26.20
€30.62
+16.9%
10.0%€36.61€25.35n/a26
Apr ’25€25.32
€29.07
+14.9%
10.8%€36.15€23.18n/a25
Mar ’25€23.67
€28.47
+20.3%
11.0%€35.99€23.07n/a27
Feb ’25€23.03
€28.51
+23.8%
11.1%€35.93€23.95€27.0626
Jan ’25€23.06
€28.75
+24.7%
13.5%€38.02€23.54€23.4626
Dec ’24€24.57
€30.10
+22.5%
12.8%€38.59€24.81€25.0125
Nov ’24€25.88
€30.55
+18.0%
13.3%€39.65€24.55€21.2525
Oct ’24€25.76
€30.34
+17.8%
13.8%€39.98€24.75€21.9824
Sep ’24€26.40
€29.26
+10.9%
14.0%€38.71€23.96€21.8924
Aug ’24€24.74
€27.04
+9.3%
13.1%€35.29€22.62€23.5725
Jul ’24€22.80
€27.71
+21.6%
13.2%€35.74€22.91€24.8625
Jun ’24€21.77
€28.34
+30.2%
13.2%€36.35€23.30€25.3725
May ’24€22.70
€27.23
+20.0%
13.1%€34.41€20.83€26.2026
Apr ’24€21.83
€27.16
+24.4%
14.8%€35.21€19.46€25.3225
Mar ’24€23.63
€28.55
+20.8%
15.2%€37.81€21.74€23.6725
Feb ’24€22.32
€27.87
+24.9%
15.8%€37.32€20.94€23.0326
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 26 Analysts
€32.39
Fair Value
18.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
26
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/06 18:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Coterra Energy Inc. is covered by 79 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel KatzenbergBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Betty JiangBarclays