Paramount Resources Valuation

Is PQ51 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PQ51 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PQ51 (€21.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€18.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PQ51 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PQ51?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PQ51 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PQ51's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PQ51 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
3.4x-6.9%€223.4m
VBK Verbio
24.2x43.1%€1.3b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.6x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
PQ51 Paramount Resources
10x13.4%€4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PQ51 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PQ51's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PQ51 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PQ51's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PQ51 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PQ51 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PQ51 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€21.40
€25.13
+17.4%
7.0%€28.72€21.88n/a10
Apr ’25€18.50
€22.61
+22.2%
8.9%€25.44€19.67n/a9
Mar ’25€20.00
€23.96
+19.8%
9.2%€27.29€20.47n/a9
Feb ’25€17.80
€24.42
+37.2%
9.6%€27.17€20.38n/a9
Jan ’25€17.30
€26.98
+56.0%
6.6%€29.03€22.54n/a9
Dec ’24€17.70
€27.26
+54.0%
3.8%€29.00€25.24n/a10
Nov ’24€22.80
€27.90
+22.3%
4.8%€30.99€25.48n/a10
Oct ’24€22.80
€26.55
+16.4%
8.5%€29.12€20.55n/a10
Sep ’24€21.00
€26.04
+24.0%
8.6%€28.79€20.32n/a10
Aug ’24€21.20
€25.96
+22.5%
8.0%€27.47€20.61n/a10
Jul ’24€19.20
€26.34
+37.2%
5.9%€27.69€22.84n/a10
Jun ’24€19.60
€26.36
+34.5%
6.6%€28.80€22.63n/a10
May ’24€21.00
€26.36
+25.5%
9.3%€30.82€22.11n/a10
Apr ’24€19.40
€26.91
+38.7%
9.0%€31.62€22.00€18.5010
Mar ’24€20.60
€26.74
+29.8%
9.6%€31.58€21.97€20.0010
Feb ’24€20.80
€26.74
+28.5%
9.6%€31.58€21.97€17.8010
Jan ’24€19.00
€27.75
+46.1%
8.7%€31.92€24.29€17.3010
Dec ’23€21.00
€29.14
+38.8%
8.4%€33.43€26.16€17.7010
Nov ’23€22.60
€29.51
+30.6%
8.8%€33.98€26.59€22.8010
Oct ’23€17.60
€31.11
+76.7%
7.6%€35.47€27.34€22.8010
Sep ’23€21.80
€32.10
+47.2%
9.0%€36.42€25.80€21.0010
Aug ’23€23.80
€33.26
+39.8%
10.7%€39.62€25.91€21.2010
Jul ’23€22.20
€33.18
+49.5%
11.5%€38.56€25.95€19.2010
Jun ’23€27.00
€31.89
+18.1%
10.6%€37.30€26.11€19.6010
May ’23€21.80
€29.38
+34.8%
11.9%€36.95€24.39€21.0010
Apr ’23€22.00
€26.25
+19.3%
8.1%€29.20€22.63€19.4010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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