Peninsula Energy Limited

DB:P1M Stock Report

Market Cap: €111.7m

Peninsula Energy Valuation

Is P1M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of P1M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: P1M (€0.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: P1M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for P1M?

Key metric: As P1M is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for P1M. This is calculated by dividing P1M's market cap by their current revenue.
What is P1M's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio9.9x
SalesUS$11.87m
Market CapUS$118.05m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does P1M's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for P1M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
ETG EnviTec Biogas
1xn/a€470.7m
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
0.7x-3.7%€169.1m
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
1.2x10.2%€546.0m
VBK Verbio
0.5x7.7%€733.1m
P1M Peninsula Energy
9.9x38.3%€181.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: P1M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.9x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does P1M's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

21 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
P1M 9.9xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies21PS00.81.62.43.24+
21 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: P1M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.9x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is P1M's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

P1M PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio9.9x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: P1M is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst P1M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.74
€2.33
+214.5%
19.2%€2.99€1.86n/a4
Nov ’25€1.14
€2.60
+127.8%
12.1%€3.15€2.42n/a4
Oct ’25€1.13
€2.54
+124.2%
11.7%€3.06€2.37n/a4
Sep ’25€0.94
€2.54
+171.7%
11.7%€3.06€2.37n/a4
Aug ’25€1.11
€2.74
+148.0%
12.2%€3.14€2.41n/a4
Jul ’25€1.14
€3.01
+164.2%
7.9%€3.22€2.60n/a4
Jun ’25€1.31
€3.10
+135.9%
1.5%€3.16€3.06n/a3
May ’25€1.44
€3.12
+117.3%
14.4%€3.83€2.57n/a4
Apr ’25€1.35
€3.11
+130.5%
25.5%€4.12€2.18n/a3
Mar ’25€1.40
€3.11
+121.9%
25.5%€4.12€2.18n/a3
Feb ’25€1.60
€3.32
+107.7%
24.9%€4.13€2.19n/a3
Jan ’25€1.14
€2.96
+160.3%
20.2%€3.65€2.19n/a3
Dec ’24€1.17
€3.31
+182.4%
9.3%€3.62€3.00n/a2
Nov ’24€1.40
€3.17
+126.8%
12.5%€3.63€2.66€1.143
Oct ’24€1.64
€3.17
+92.8%
12.5%€3.63€2.66€1.133
Sep ’24€1.10
€3.05
+177.1%
16.3%€3.58€2.39€0.943
Aug ’24€1.30
€3.61
+177.5%
4.0%€3.76€3.41€1.113
Jul ’24€1.91
€4.47
+133.9%
6.9%€4.88€4.14€1.143
Jun ’24€1.91
€4.51
+135.8%
7.2%€4.93€4.15€1.313
May ’24€1.64
€4.38
+167.0%
6.9%€4.78€4.05€1.443
Apr ’24€1.60
€5.06
+216.5%
17.9%€6.34€4.29€1.353
Mar ’24€1.75
€5.06
+189.3%
17.9%€6.34€4.29€1.403
Feb ’24€1.85
€5.10
+175.4%
17.8%€6.37€4.33€1.603
Jan ’24€1.50
€4.75
+216.5%
21.8%€6.42€3.59€1.144
Dec ’23€1.60
€4.42
+175.9%
14.4%€5.20€3.64€1.173
Nov ’23€2.11
€4.60
+118.6%
14.0%€5.19€3.63€1.404

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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