Iwatani Valuation

Is IWA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IWA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IWA (€10.94) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€4.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IWA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IWA?

Key metric: As IWA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IWA. This is calculated by dividing IWA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IWA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.6x
EarningsJP¥50.39b
Market CapJP¥432.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IWA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IWA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.6x
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.8x12.9%€557.0m
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
ETG EnviTec Biogas
9xn/a€448.5m
IWA Iwatani
8.6x6.1%€432.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the peer average (31.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IWA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IWA 8.6xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IWA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IWA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IWA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IWA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.94
€16.30
+49.0%
18.7%€20.27€13.17n/a4
Nov ’25€11.45
€17.67
+54.3%
16.3%€20.66€13.78n/a3
Oct ’25€13.07
€17.67
+35.2%
16.3%€20.66€13.78n/a3
Sep ’25€12.93
€18.39
+42.3%
7.9%€20.25€16.69n/a3
Aug ’25€13.28
€17.42
+31.2%
7.9%€19.17€15.81n/a3
Jul ’25€13.71
€15.63
+13.9%
19.2%€19.19€11.87n/a3
Jun ’25€13.09
€15.99
+22.2%
18.4%€19.52€12.32n/a3
May ’25€13.09
€15.99
+22.2%
18.4%€19.52€12.32n/a3
Apr ’25€12.20
€14.20
+16.4%
11.1%€16.23€12.40n/a3
Mar ’25€11.18
€13.91
+24.4%
6.3%€14.60€12.45n/a4
Feb ’25€10.73
€14.30
+33.3%
7.3%€15.04€12.82n/a3
Jan ’25€9.81
€14.30
+45.8%
7.3%€15.04€12.82n/a3
Dec ’24€10.77
€14.97
+39.0%
7.7%€16.89€13.82n/a4
Nov ’24€11.18
€15.27
+36.7%
8.0%€17.32€14.17€11.454
Oct ’24€11.66
€15.27
+31.1%
8.0%€17.32€14.17€13.074
Sep ’24€11.85
€15.27
+29.0%
8.0%€17.32€14.17€12.934
Aug ’24€11.56
€15.07
+30.4%
4.5%€16.13€14.29€13.284
Jul ’24€11.79
€15.07
+27.9%
4.5%€16.13€14.29€13.714
Jun ’24€11.29
€13.58
+20.3%
6.6%€14.52€12.27€13.094
May ’24€10.49
€14.37
+37.1%
6.9%€15.57€13.15€13.093
Apr ’24€9.72
€14.37
+47.8%
6.9%€15.57€13.15€12.203
Mar ’24€9.45
€13.64
+44.4%
4.5%€14.25€13.02€11.182
Feb ’24€9.48
€13.64
+43.9%
4.5%€14.25€13.02€10.732
Jan ’24€10.00
€13.64
+36.4%
4.5%€14.25€13.02€9.812
Dec ’23€9.74
€13.12
+34.7%
4.8%€13.74€12.49€10.772
Nov ’23€9.22
€13.12
+42.3%
4.8%€13.74€12.49€11.182

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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