Delek Logistics Partners, LP

NYSE:DKL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Delek Logistics Partners Valuation

Is DKL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DKL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DKL ($40) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($165.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DKL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DKL?

Key metric: As DKL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DKL. This is calculated by dividing DKL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DKL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.9x
EarningsUS$129.53m
Market CapUS$2.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DKL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DKL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
GLP Global Partners
15.8x-12.7%US$1.8b
NFE New Fortress Energy
13x8.4%US$2.5b
HEP Holly Energy Partners
10.8x10.1%US$2.6b
DHT DHT Holdings
10.2x27.7%US$1.7b
DKL Delek Logistics Partners
15.9x19.1%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DKL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
DKL 15.9xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies18PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DKL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DKL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio12.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DKL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$40.00
US$44.00
+10.0%
11.5%US$50.00US$36.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$38.97
US$43.00
+10.3%
9.4%US$46.00US$36.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$43.80
US$45.33
+3.5%
1.0%US$46.00US$45.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$41.29
US$45.33
+9.8%
1.0%US$46.00US$45.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$40.77
US$45.00
+10.4%
1.8%US$46.00US$44.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$40.44
US$45.00
+11.3%
1.8%US$46.00US$44.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$39.62
US$45.00
+13.6%
1.8%US$46.00US$44.00n/a3
May ’25US$39.75
US$45.00
+13.2%
1.8%US$46.00US$44.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$40.65
US$44.50
+9.5%
1.1%US$45.00US$44.00n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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