Viridien Société anonyme

DB:GDG Stock Report

Market Cap: €286.4m

Viridien Société anonyme Valuation

Is GDG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GDG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GDG (€40.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€97.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GDG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GDG?

Key metric: As GDG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GDG. This is calculated by dividing GDG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GDG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$1.05b
Market CapUS$298.29m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GDG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GDG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
1.3x10.2%€559.0m
ETG EnviTec Biogas
1xn/a€467.8m
4DS Daldrup & Söhne
0.8x1.3%€46.1m
VBK Verbio
0.4x7.7%€685.4m
GDG Viridien Société anonyme
0.3x7.9%€286.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GDG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GDG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Energy Services Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDG 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies10PS00.61.21.82.43+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GDG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Energy Services industry average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GDG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GDG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GDG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GDG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€40.20
€64.79
+61.2%
45.2%€119.15€26.57n/a6
Nov ’25€36.64
€65.54
+78.9%
45.5%€121.26€26.79n/a6
Oct ’25€32.65
€63.93
+95.8%
44.8%€116.59€26.30n/a6
Sep ’25€39.24
€66.52
+69.5%
40.9%€115.79€26.12n/a6
Aug ’25€45.60
€69.27
+51.9%
42.5%€119.27€26.04n/a6
Jul ’25€49.72
€73.53
+47.9%
41.2%€119.11€26.10n/a6
Jun ’25€63.96
€73.64
+15.1%
41.8%€120.85€25.99n/a6
May ’25€40.00
€74.49
+86.2%
42.0%€122.50€25.98n/a6
Apr ’25€39.61
€80.05
+102.1%
40.0%€122.05€25.97n/a6
Mar ’25€40.90
€91.59
+123.9%
19.0%€119.35€60.05n/a6
Feb ’25€42.41
€91.03
+114.6%
18.7%€118.41€60.31n/a6
Jan ’25€58.84
€93.85
+59.5%
14.5%€119.49€74.29n/a6
Dec ’24€61.30
€95.42
+55.7%
14.4%€120.91€74.94n/a6
Nov ’24€65.66
€102.27
+55.8%
12.5%€122.46€83.47€36.646
Oct ’24€66.22
€102.56
+54.9%
13.4%€121.38€82.73€32.655
Sep ’24€73.72
€101.23
+37.3%
13.1%€122.72€81.88€39.246
Aug ’24€64.36
€99.61
+54.8%
12.8%€120.37€80.31€45.606
Jul ’24€69.28
€99.15
+43.1%
13.7%€120.76€78.56€49.726
Jun ’24€69.30
€99.18
+43.1%
13.0%€120.39€80.23€63.966
May ’24€67.58
€97.70
+44.6%
13.3%€117.75€78.41€40.006
Apr ’24€70.78
€101.23
+43.0%
13.1%€122.30€81.44€39.616
Mar ’24€82.74
€98.93
+19.6%
14.1%€120.99€80.57€40.906
Feb ’24€79.02
€104.54
+32.3%
21.3%€149.50€78.88€42.417
Jan ’24€60.50
€105.57
+74.5%
21.0%€150.43€78.01€58.847
Dec ’23€66.68
€105.57
+58.3%
21.0%€150.43€78.01€61.307
Nov ’23€90.74
€129.72
+43.0%
28.8%€199.85€85.85€65.667

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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