Lycos Energy Valuation

Is G4P0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of G4P0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: G4P0 (€1.93) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: G4P0 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for G4P0?

Key metric: As G4P0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for G4P0. This is calculated by dividing G4P0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is G4P0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.5x
EarningsCA$13.71m
Market CapCA$157.05m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does G4P0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for G4P0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.7x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.8x-8.9%€165.6m
ETG EnviTec Biogas
9xn/a€448.5m
AXL Arrow Exploration
79.1xn/aCA$120.1m
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.8x12.9%€557.0m
G4P0 Lycos Energy
11.5xn/a€157.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: G4P0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does G4P0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
G4P0 11.5xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: G4P0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is G4P0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

G4P0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate G4P0's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst G4P0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.93
€3.66
+89.9%
21.4%€5.09€3.05n/a6
Nov ’25€1.70
€3.71
+118.3%
18.7%€5.00€3.00n/a6
Oct ’25€1.91
€3.75
+96.5%
18.0%€4.98€2.99n/a6
Sep ’25€2.08
€3.97
+91.1%
24.0%€5.98€3.32n/a6
Aug ’25€2.22
€4.00
+80.3%
24.0%€6.02€3.34n/a6
Jul ’25€2.26
€4.12
+82.2%
23.4%€6.15€3.42n/a6
Jun ’25€2.28
€4.06
+78.2%
23.4%€6.07€3.37n/a6
May ’25€2.44
€4.32
+77.1%
25.7%€6.12€3.40n/a4
Apr ’25€2.20
€4.30
+95.4%
25.8%€6.12€3.40n/a4
Mar ’25€2.18
€4.33
+98.8%
25.7%€6.14€3.41n/a4
Feb ’25€2.10
€4.80
+128.6%
21.0%€6.20€3.44n/a4
Jan ’25€2.22
€5.02
+126.2%
22.9%€6.83€3.76n/a4
Dec ’24€2.26
€4.93
+118.1%
22.9%€6.71€3.69n/a4
Nov ’24€2.52
€5.09
+102.1%
20.8%€6.81€4.09€1.704
Sep ’24€0.29
€4.99
+1,619.9%
26.1%€6.80€3.81€2.083
Aug ’24€2.19
€5.04
+129.8%
26.1%€6.87€3.85€2.223
Jul ’24€1.96
€4.89
+149.5%
30.8%€6.92€3.32€2.263
Jun ’24n/a
€5.49
0%
25.0%€6.86€4.11€2.282
May ’24n/a
€5.59
0%
22.0%€6.81€4.36€2.442

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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