Delek US Holdings Valuation

Is DEH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DEH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DEH (€17.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€12.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DEH is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DEH?

Key metric: As DEH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DEH. This is calculated by dividing DEH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DEH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.08x
SalesUS$13.87b
Market CapUS$1.17b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DEH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DEH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
CE2 CropEnergies
0.8x-14.0%€1.0b
VBK Verbio
0.5x7.7%€778.9m
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
1.3x10.2%€548.0m
ETG EnviTec Biogas
0.9xn/a€433.6m
DEH Delek US Holdings
0.08x-9.5%€1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DEH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DEH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.2x-1.3%
DEH Delek US Holdings
0.08x-9.5%US$1.17b
DEH 0.1xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies22PS00.81.62.43.24+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.2x6.1%
DEH Delek US Holdings
0.08x29.4%US$1.17b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DEH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DEH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DEH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.08x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DEH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DEH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.70
€19.43
+9.8%
17.2%€25.08€14.47n/a14
Dec ’25€18.00
€19.69
+9.4%
15.6%€24.97€14.40n/a14
Nov ’25€14.30
€18.69
+30.7%
16.4%€24.04€13.87n/a14
Oct ’25€16.60
€20.63
+24.3%
15.4%€27.00€15.30n/a13
Sep ’25€17.80
€22.14
+24.4%
16.4%€29.77€16.24n/a13
Aug ’25€21.80
€22.16
+1.6%
15.9%€30.18€17.37n/a13
Jul ’25€23.00
€24.80
+7.8%
11.8%€30.79€18.66n/a12
Jun ’25€23.00
€26.57
+15.5%
12.9%€34.17€23.09n/a13
May ’25€27.20
€28.26
+3.9%
16.1%€41.24€23.43n/a13
Apr ’25€27.80
€26.62
-4.2%
17.9%€40.72€21.28n/a13
Mar ’25€23.40
€25.58
+9.3%
18.9%€40.71€19.43n/a14
Feb ’25€25.00
€26.06
+4.2%
31.0%€53.30€17.46n/a14
Jan ’25€23.40
€26.71
+14.1%
30.1%€52.72€17.27€16.4013
Dec ’24€24.80
€27.56
+11.1%
27.9%€53.15€22.91€18.0013
Nov ’24€25.00
€28.18
+12.7%
26.9%€52.88€21.72€14.3013
Oct ’24€27.80
€29.58
+6.4%
26.0%€53.31€22.85€16.6013
Sep ’24€23.60
€26.71
+13.2%
29.8%€51.98€17.64€17.8013
Aug ’24€24.80
€24.72
-0.3%
26.4%€46.87€18.03€21.8014
Jul ’24€21.60
€25.27
+17.0%
27.0%€47.65€18.33€23.0014
Jun ’24€20.40
€25.59
+25.4%
27.3%€48.13€18.51€23.0014
May ’24€19.40
€25.52
+31.6%
28.1%€48.31€18.23€27.2014
Apr ’24€20.80
€27.68
+33.1%
24.8%€48.89€18.45€27.8014
Mar ’24€23.40
€30.16
+28.9%
20.9%€49.71€22.51€23.4013
Feb ’24€24.20
€29.26
+20.9%
19.4%€45.13€22.10€25.0013
Jan ’24€25.20
€32.32
+28.2%
23.2%€46.06€22.56€23.4013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 17:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Delek US Holdings, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel MannesAvondale Partners
Yim ChengBarclays
Douglas George Blyth LeggateBofA Global Research