Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.

DB:9TA1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.8b

Tamarack Valley Energy Valuation

Is 9TA1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9TA1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€11.32
Fair Value
71.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 9TA1 (€3.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9TA1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9TA1?

Key metric: As 9TA1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9TA1. This is calculated by dividing 9TA1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9TA1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.1x
EarningsCA$213.16m
Market CapCA$2.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9TA1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9TA1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.5x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.9x-9.0%€168.6m
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
83.9xn/a€1.2b
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.9x12.9%€558.0m
9TA1 Tamarack Valley Energy
12.1x-14.0%€2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9TA1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (30.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9TA1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9TA1 12.1xIndustry Avg. 8.5xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9TA1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9TA1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9TA1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9TA1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9TA1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.28
€3.89
+18.7%
9.7%€4.53€3.36n/a11
Jan ’26€3.04
€3.88
+27.8%
9.7%€4.52€3.35n/a11
Dec ’25€2.94
€3.76
+28.0%
12.3%€4.75€3.05n/a11
Nov ’25€2.74
€3.62
+32.2%
12.1%€4.63€2.98n/a11
Oct ’25€2.56
€3.52
+37.6%
12.0%€4.47€2.98n/a11
Sep ’25€2.70
€3.56
+31.9%
14.0%€4.79€2.97n/a11
Aug ’25€2.72
€3.55
+30.6%
14.2%€4.84€3.01n/a11
Jul ’25€2.52
€3.56
+41.1%
15.0%€4.95€2.73n/a11
Jun ’25€2.56
€3.55
+38.7%
14.4%€4.92€2.72n/a12
May ’25€2.66
€3.48
+30.9%
15.5%€4.97€2.74n/a12
Apr ’25€2.56
€3.30
+28.9%
13.0%€4.42€2.72n/a12
Mar ’25€2.28
€3.64
+59.7%
28.5%€6.65€2.90n/a11
Feb ’25€2.10
€3.66
+74.1%
28.8%€6.71€2.75n/a12
Jan ’25€2.10
€3.78
+80.2%
24.1%€6.66€2.73€3.0413
Dec ’24€2.46
€4.13
+67.9%
20.4%€6.65€3.07€2.9414
Nov ’24€2.78
€4.13
+48.6%
20.4%€6.65€3.07€2.7414
Oct ’24€2.66
€3.99
+50.0%
21.9%€6.76€2.77€2.5614
Sep ’24€2.48
€3.92
+58.0%
21.8%€6.68€2.74€2.7015
Aug ’24€2.44
€3.92
+60.6%
21.8%€6.68€2.74€2.7215
Jul ’24€2.20
€4.12
+87.2%
20.5%€6.77€3.13€2.5214
Jun ’24€2.30
€4.25
+84.7%
28.2%€8.23€3.09€2.5614
May ’24€2.42
€4.44
+83.3%
25.4%€8.12€3.38€2.6614
Apr ’24€2.62
€4.58
+74.7%
24.3%€8.16€3.40€2.5614
Mar ’24€2.92
€4.84
+65.7%
23.0%€8.64€4.15€2.2814
Feb ’24€3.24
€4.84
+49.4%
23.0%€8.64€4.15€2.1014
Jan ’24€2.90
€4.94
+70.5%
23.3%€8.63€4.14€2.1014
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
€3.89
Fair Value
15.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 10:43
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. is covered by 26 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Trevor ReynoldsAcumen Capital Finance Partners Limited
Patrick O'RourkeATB Capital Markets
Randy OllenbergerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research