Advantage Energy Ltd.

DB:9SA0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.0b

Advantage Energy Valuation

Is 9SA0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9SA0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9SA0 (€5.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9SA0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9SA0?

Key metric: As 9SA0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9SA0. This is calculated by dividing 9SA0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9SA0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.6x
EarningsCA$45.62m
Market CapCA$1.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9SA0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9SA0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.9x-8.9%€169.1m
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.4x12.9%€546.0m
9SA0 Advantage Energy
32.6x46.1%€1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9SA0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the peer average (30x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9SA0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9SA0 32.6xIndustry Avg. 9.0xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9SA0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9SA0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9SA0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.6x
Fair PE Ratio33x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9SA0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9SA0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.85
€8.98
+53.4%
18.4%€13.57€7.46n/a11
Nov ’25€5.60
€8.76
+56.4%
18.7%€13.33€7.33n/a11
Oct ’25€6.10
€9.07
+48.7%
17.3%€13.39€7.37n/a11
Sep ’25€6.35
€9.29
+46.3%
15.0%€13.32€7.99n/a11
Aug ’25€6.30
€9.29
+47.5%
15.0%€13.32€7.99n/a11
Jul ’25€6.90
€9.47
+37.3%
14.9%€13.58€8.15n/a11
Jun ’25€7.60
€9.19
+20.9%
15.2%€12.97€7.51n/a12
May ’25€7.20
€9.19
+27.6%
15.2%€12.97€7.51n/a12
Apr ’25€6.60
€8.84
+33.9%
13.4%€11.56€7.14n/a11
Mar ’25€6.70
€8.60
+28.3%
14.3%€11.02€6.72n/a11
Feb ’25€5.90
€8.59
+45.6%
14.8%€11.02€6.71n/a12
Jan ’25€5.70
€8.73
+53.1%
17.9%€12.32€6.50n/a13
Dec ’24€6.15
€8.70
+41.4%
17.0%€12.26€6.47n/a14
Nov ’24€7.05
€8.66
+22.9%
17.4%€12.28€6.48€5.6014
Oct ’24€6.50
€8.68
+33.5%
16.3%€11.23€6.67€6.1013
Sep ’24€6.45
€8.34
+29.3%
16.3%€11.04€6.55€6.3514
Aug ’24€6.25
€8.34
+33.5%
16.3%€11.04€6.55€6.3014
Jul ’24€5.90
€8.17
+38.4%
16.6%€11.11€6.60€6.9014
Jun ’24€5.00
€8.18
+63.7%
16.2%€10.97€6.17€7.6014
May ’24€4.88
€8.09
+65.8%
15.7%€10.72€6.36€7.2014
Apr ’24€5.15
€8.80
+70.8%
13.7%€11.56€7.14€6.6014
Mar ’24€5.45
€9.16
+68.0%
14.6%€11.78€7.27€6.7014
Feb ’24€5.60
€9.49
+69.4%
11.3%€11.75€8.19€5.9014
Jan ’24€6.30
€10.11
+60.4%
9.3%€11.77€8.31€5.7013
Dec ’23€8.25
€10.77
+30.5%
9.3%€12.54€8.85€6.1513
Nov ’23€7.65
€10.77
+40.7%
9.3%€12.54€8.85€7.0513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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