Gibson Energy Valuation

Is 8GB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8GB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8GB (€16.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€30.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8GB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8GB?

Key metric: As 8GB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8GB. This is calculated by dividing 8GB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8GB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.5x
EarningsCA$211.04m
Market CapCA$3.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8GB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8GB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.7x
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.9x12.9%€558.0m
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
ETG EnviTec Biogas
9.2xn/a€460.4m
8GB Gibson Energy
18.5x9.9%€3.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8GB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (31.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8GB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8GB 18.5xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8GB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8GB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8GB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8GB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8GB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.10
€17.93
+11.4%
4.8%€19.46€17.07n/a12
Nov ’25€15.10
€17.59
+16.5%
4.8%€19.10€16.76n/a12
Oct ’25€14.80
€17.24
+16.5%
3.5%€18.00€16.66n/a11
Sep ’25€14.80
€17.08
+15.4%
3.6%€17.86€16.54n/a11
Aug ’25€14.40
€17.21
+19.5%
3.7%€18.06€16.72n/a11
Jul ’25€15.70
€17.55
+11.8%
4.1%€18.42€16.37n/a11
Jun ’25€15.30
€17.41
+13.8%
3.6%€18.40€16.36n/a13
May ’25€15.20
€17.38
+14.3%
3.6%€18.37€16.33n/a13
Apr ’25€15.70
€17.14
+9.2%
4.8%€18.32€15.26n/a13
Mar ’25€15.20
€17.03
+12.1%
6.7%€18.42€14.33n/a13
Feb ’25€14.70
€17.12
+16.5%
7.3%€18.59€14.46n/a12
Jan ’25€13.60
€17.14
+26.0%
5.6%€18.33€15.27n/a12
Dec ’24€13.80
€17.16
+24.4%
7.0%€18.50€14.39n/a12
Nov ’24€13.90
€17.01
+22.3%
7.0%€18.40€14.31€15.1012
Oct ’24€13.40
€17.53
+30.8%
7.9%€18.80€14.62€14.8012
Sep ’24€13.80
€17.33
+25.6%
7.1%€18.47€14.37€14.8014
Aug ’24€13.90
€17.43
+25.4%
6.8%€19.19€15.07€14.4015
Jul ’24€14.30
€17.74
+24.1%
6.9%€20.13€15.27€15.7015
Jun ’24€14.80
€17.15
+15.9%
5.3%€19.13€15.03€15.3014
May ’24€15.30
€16.97
+10.9%
4.7%€18.95€15.57€15.2015
Apr ’24€14.60
€17.25
+18.1%
5.0%€19.10€15.69€15.7014
Mar ’24€15.90
€17.72
+11.4%
4.9%€19.48€16.00€15.2015
Feb ’24€16.10
€17.63
+9.5%
5.3%€19.36€15.90€14.7015
Jan ’24€16.30
€17.76
+9.0%
5.7%€19.59€16.09€13.6014
Dec ’23€16.90
€18.32
+8.4%
6.7%€20.26€16.28€13.8014
Nov ’23€17.00
€18.87
+11.0%
6.3%€20.80€16.72€13.9014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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