Talos Energy Valuation

Is 7T2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7T2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7T2 (€10.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7T2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7T2?

Key metric: As 7T2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7T2. This is calculated by dividing 7T2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7T2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.8x
EarningsUS$74.01m
Market CapUS$2.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7T2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7T2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.1x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.7x-8.9%€161.2m
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
20.1x12.9%€564.0m
7T2 Talos Energy
26.8x-82.6%€2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7T2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.8x) compared to the peer average (30.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7T2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7T2 26.8xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7T2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.8x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7T2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7T2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.8x
Fair PE Ratio4.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7T2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7T2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.62
€16.00
+50.8%
19.4%€20.77€12.27n/a10
Nov ’25€9.27
€15.43
+66.5%
20.8%€20.26€11.51n/a10
Oct ’25€9.15
€15.99
+74.7%
17.2%€19.71€12.54n/a10
Sep ’25€10.63
€16.69
+57.1%
20.4%€22.55€12.63n/a9
Aug ’25€10.81
€16.99
+57.2%
19.7%€22.05€12.86n/a9
Jul ’25€11.15
€18.20
+63.3%
15.9%€22.47€13.11n/a8
Jun ’25€10.46
€17.92
+71.4%
15.9%€22.12€12.91n/a8
May ’25€12.90
€18.43
+42.9%
15.9%€24.29€14.02n/a9
Apr ’25€12.43
€17.44
+40.4%
15.6%€23.18€13.91n/a8
Mar ’25€12.03
€17.97
+49.4%
17.8%€23.01€11.96n/a7
Feb ’25€11.80
€17.97
+52.4%
17.8%€23.01€11.96n/a7
Jan ’25€12.76
€18.79
+47.3%
17.8%€23.16€12.04n/a7
Dec ’24€12.57
€19.24
+53.2%
15.1%€22.91€13.75n/a7
Nov ’24€14.62
€19.46
+33.2%
14.0%€22.99€14.71€9.276
Oct ’24€15.73
€19.46
+23.8%
14.0%€22.99€14.71€9.156
Sep ’24€16.08
€19.46
+21.1%
14.0%€22.99€14.71€10.636
Aug ’24€14.34
€19.42
+35.5%
13.1%€21.44€13.98€10.816
Jul ’24€12.68
€19.42
+53.2%
13.1%€21.44€13.98€11.156
Jun ’24€11.36
€19.42
+70.9%
13.1%€21.44€13.98€10.466
May ’24€11.36
€21.77
+91.7%
31.5%€36.29€14.52€12.906
Apr ’24€13.20
€22.37
+69.5%
34.9%€36.68€14.67€12.435
Mar ’24€16.50
€26.50
+60.6%
25.1%€37.52€19.70€12.034
Feb ’24€17.90
€26.17
+46.2%
24.3%€36.41€19.12€11.804
Jan ’24€17.40
€26.97
+55.0%
19.7%€37.63€19.75€12.766
Dec ’23€18.50
€27.90
+50.8%
18.8%€38.70€21.29€12.576
Nov ’23€21.00
€29.10
+38.6%
18.0%€40.13€23.08€14.626

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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