Antero Resources Corporation

DB:7A6 Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.1b

Antero Resources Valuation

Is 7A6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7A6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7A6 (€29.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€48.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7A6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7A6?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

7A6 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.2x
PEG Ratio3.7x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 7A6's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 7A6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
1x-1.5%€212.1m
VBK Verbio
0.7x6.5%€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
0.8x-14.0%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
0.8x-14.0%€1.0b
7A6 Antero Resources
2.4x8.7%€9.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 7A6 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7A6's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 7A6 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7A6's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7A6 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ratio2.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 7A6 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7A6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€29.02
€30.55
+5.3%
12.4%€38.22€22.37n/a19
Apr ’25€25.90
€27.21
+5.1%
11.3%€34.30€22.25n/a17
Mar ’25€23.56
€25.98
+10.3%
13.4%€34.19€19.41n/a17
Feb ’25€20.48
€25.61
+25.0%
12.5%€34.04€21.16n/a18
Jan ’25€20.50
€27.88
+36.0%
16.1%€39.86€20.83n/a18
Dec ’24€21.88
€30.01
+37.2%
14.2%€40.43€21.13n/a18
Nov ’24€27.68
€30.72
+11.0%
14.3%€41.44€21.66n/a18
Oct ’24€23.96
€29.86
+24.6%
16.6%€42.58€19.87n/a16
Sep ’24€25.56
€29.24
+14.4%
16.5%€41.77€19.49n/a16
Aug ’24€23.82
€27.16
+14.0%
18.5%€39.01€18.14n/a16
Jul ’24€21.18
€26.86
+26.8%
19.8%€37.57€18.33n/a16
Jun ’24€18.70
€28.27
+51.2%
20.1%€38.22€18.64n/a15
May ’24€20.74
€28.99
+39.8%
19.4%€41.02€19.14n/a15
Apr ’24€20.92
€30.55
+46.0%
15.4%€35.95€21.20€25.9015
Mar ’24€24.59
€34.14
+38.9%
17.8%€47.83€21.57€23.5615
Feb ’24€25.77
€36.47
+41.5%
17.3%€46.91€23.00€20.4817
Jan ’24€28.55
€43.42
+52.1%
14.8%€51.84€26.39€20.5016
Dec ’23€34.67
€45.53
+31.3%
16.7%€58.55€26.87€21.8816
Nov ’23€36.65
€48.22
+31.6%
16.5%€61.76€28.35€27.6816
Oct ’23€30.86
€52.85
+71.3%
18.6%€68.36€31.63€23.9615
Sep ’23€39.49
€51.41
+30.2%
18.9%€67.36€31.17€25.5615
Aug ’23€37.52
€48.88
+30.3%
17.6%€63.64€30.35€23.8215
Jul ’23€28.86
€45.62
+58.1%
21.7%€70.01€27.81€21.1816
Jun ’23€39.64
€42.67
+7.7%
21.3%€67.72€26.90€18.7016
May ’23€34.09
€41.25
+21.0%
16.7%€53.10€22.76€20.7416
Apr ’23€27.64
€28.41
+2.8%
21.6%€38.94€19.92€20.9216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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