Topaz Energy Corp.

DB:5XU Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.0b

Topaz Energy Valuation

Is 5XU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5XU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5XU (€18.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€33.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5XU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5XU?

Key metric: As 5XU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5XU. This is calculated by dividing 5XU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5XU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio72.9x
EarningsCA$61.60m
Market CapCA$4.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5XU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5XU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.1x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.8x-8.9%€166.6m
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
VH2 Friedrich Vorwerk Group
19.9x12.9%€558.0m
5XU Topaz Energy
72.9x4.2%€4.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5XU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.9x) compared to the peer average (30.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5XU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5XU 72.9xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5XU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.9x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5XU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5XU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio72.9x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5XU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (72.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5XU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.90
€21.55
+14.0%
5.8%€23.66€19.60n/a13
Nov ’25€17.20
€20.92
+21.6%
6.7%€23.18€18.55n/a13
Oct ’25€17.10
€19.98
+16.8%
7.1%€22.77€17.41n/a12
Sep ’25€17.50
€19.72
+12.7%
7.4%€22.54€17.24n/a12
Aug ’25€17.00
€19.62
+15.4%
6.8%€22.74€17.39n/a12
Jul ’25€16.20
€18.95
+17.0%
8.2%€22.55€17.09n/a13
Jun ’25€14.50
€18.79
+29.6%
7.7%€22.45€17.01n/a14
May ’25€15.60
€18.79
+20.4%
7.7%€22.45€17.01n/a14
Apr ’25€14.80
€18.20
+22.9%
7.9%€20.35€15.60n/a14
Mar ’25€13.30
€18.08
+36.0%
8.1%€20.47€15.69n/a13
Feb ’25€13.30
€18.37
+38.1%
7.3%€20.65€16.52n/a13
Jan ’25€12.80
€19.00
+48.4%
8.8%€21.86€16.40n/a13
Dec ’24€12.90
€19.09
+48.0%
8.2%€21.84€16.38n/a14
Nov ’24€14.50
€19.09
+31.6%
8.2%€21.84€16.38€17.2014
Oct ’24€14.90
€19.01
+27.6%
8.9%€21.92€15.76€17.1014
Sep ’24€14.80
€18.75
+26.7%
9.1%€21.68€15.58€17.5014
Aug ’24€14.40
€18.84
+30.9%
8.8%€21.93€15.76€17.0014
Jul ’24€13.90
€19.12
+37.6%
9.3%€22.37€16.08€16.2014
Jun ’24€13.90
€18.53
+33.3%
9.8%€21.94€15.77€14.5015
May ’24€12.40
€18.13
+46.2%
10.4%€21.40€14.72€15.6015
Apr ’24€12.40
€18.77
+51.4%
9.5%€21.76€14.96€14.8015
Mar ’24€13.10
€19.66
+50.1%
8.0%€22.07€16.90€13.3015
Feb ’24€13.90
€20.03
+44.1%
8.5%€22.12€16.94€13.3015
Jan ’24€14.20
€21.39
+50.7%
7.5%€25.24€18.58€12.8014
Dec ’23€16.40
€22.07
+34.6%
7.8%€26.16€19.26€12.9014
Nov ’23€16.70
€22.36
+33.9%
8.2%€26.75€18.95€14.5014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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