Energean plc

DB:1YE Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.3b

Energean Valuation

Is 1YE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1YE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1YE (€13.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€12.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1YE is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1YE?

Key metric: As 1YE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1YE. This is calculated by dividing 1YE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1YE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.9x
EarningsUS$273.48m
Market CapUS$2.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1YE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1YE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.5x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
2.9x-8.9%€168.6m
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
ETG EnviTec Biogas
9.4xn/a€467.8m
1YE Energean
8.9x7.0%€1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1YE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1YE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1YE 8.9xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1YE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1YE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1YE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.9x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1YE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1YE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.17
€14.05
+6.7%
10.6%€15.82€11.94n/a7
Nov ’25€11.74
€14.05
+19.7%
10.6%€15.82€11.94n/a7
Oct ’25€10.66
€14.80
+38.9%
14.1%€18.01€12.01n/a8
Sep ’25€11.62
€16.06
+38.2%
9.7%€17.79€12.50n/a9
Aug ’25€11.67
€16.06
+37.6%
9.7%€17.79€12.50n/a9
Jul ’25€11.55
€16.75
+45.0%
11.1%€18.84€12.41n/a9
Jun ’25€13.84
€17.32
+25.2%
7.9%€19.96€15.26n/a8
May ’25€13.42
€16.92
+26.0%
8.4%€19.81€14.57n/a9
Apr ’25€12.70
€16.92
+33.2%
8.4%€19.81€14.57n/a9
Mar ’25€11.73
€17.27
+47.2%
10.4%€20.44€14.60n/a9
Feb ’25€11.34
€17.47
+54.0%
13.1%€22.19€14.60n/a9
Jan ’25€11.60
€17.82
+53.6%
11.0%€21.94€15.01n/a9
Dec ’24€11.48
€17.60
+53.3%
11.3%€21.74€14.87n/a9
Nov ’24€9.78
€17.71
+81.0%
11.3%€21.82€14.93€11.749
Oct ’24€13.50
€18.69
+38.5%
15.7%€24.81€15.00€10.669
Sep ’24€13.08
€19.14
+46.3%
17.3%€25.18€12.88€11.629
Aug ’24€13.29
€19.21
+44.5%
17.5%€24.85€12.71€11.679
Jul ’24€11.50
€19.64
+70.8%
16.5%€24.99€14.12€11.558
Jun ’24€12.71
€20.11
+58.2%
12.7%€24.78€16.83€13.848
May ’24€13.54
€20.33
+50.1%
13.5%€24.43€16.59€13.428
Apr ’24€14.70
€20.23
+37.6%
14.2%€24.42€15.90€12.708
Mar ’24€13.60
€20.03
+47.3%
13.6%€24.44€15.92€11.738
Feb ’24€13.00
€20.69
+59.2%
19.4%€29.29€15.77€11.348
Jan ’24€14.80
€22.43
+51.5%
16.1%€29.75€17.47€11.608
Dec ’23€17.00
€22.43
+31.9%
16.1%€29.75€17.47€11.488
Nov ’23€17.50
€21.14
+20.8%
20.7%€29.60€14.80€9.788

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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