Stock Analysis

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Verbio SE (ETR:VBK) After Its Third-Quarter Results

Shareholders might have noticed that Verbio SE (ETR:VBK) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.7% to €9.64 in the past week. Revenues were in line with expectations, at €395m, while statutory losses ballooned to €0.22 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:VBK Earnings and Revenue Growth May 16th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Verbio's six analysts is for revenues of €1.81b in 2026. This would reflect a huge 21% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Verbio is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of €0.75 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €1.82b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.75 in 2026. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

View our latest analysis for Verbio

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of €14.97, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Verbio, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €17.00 and the most bearish at €10.50 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Verbio's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 17% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 13% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to see a revenue decline of 0.4% annually. So it's clear with the acceleration in growth, Verbio is expected to grow meaningfully faster than the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, they made no changes to their revenue estimates - and they expect it to perform better than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €14.97, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Verbio analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Verbio that you should be aware of.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:VBK

Verbio

Engages in the production and distribution of fuels and finished products in Germany, Europe, North America, and internationally.

Fair value with moderate growth potential.

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